{ "ticker": { "uuid": "07278fd5-983f-4e5d-b651-a5d1f91dc51e", "symbol": "002369", "name": "Shenzhen Zowee Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.965, "architecture_energy": 51.973, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.615, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.34, "rotation_up": 26.87, "upward_expansion": 8.41, "deceleration": 60.99, "rotation_down": 51.69, "downward_expansion": 81.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.454, 5.472182, 5.945381, 6.36357 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.94, "trend_reference": 6.989667, "distance_from_trend": -0.150174, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.844615, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.132165, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.029882, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.284337, "excess_performance": -0.291737, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.150174, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.143738, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.132165, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.239644, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.290299, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02023, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.284337, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.107886, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 169055900, "relative_activity": 2.475644, "balance": 1.107886, "dry_up": 2.039288, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099327, "annualized_volatility": 0.347435, "from_high_reference": -0.519806, "from_low_reference": 0.26383 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.989667, "fair_value_reference": 6.844615, "structural_low": 4.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.020036, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.04412, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.65991, "worst_return": -0.241517, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.045206, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.001141, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.698667, "worst_return": -0.30674, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.04671, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.040453, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.007937, "worst_return": -0.44, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.635478, "energy": 90.854577, "activity_lines": [ 5.53, 5.891091, 6.425667, 6.85486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.04, "volume": 108708048, "typical_volume": 54571357.35, "trend": 7.313, "fair_value": 6.842372, "relative_strength": -39.586193, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.846264, "energy": 89.994447, "activity_lines": [ 5.331333, 5.668727, 6.253952, 6.700022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.05, "volume": 94294172, "typical_volume": 55911155.9, "trend": 7.192667, "fair_value": 6.839744, "relative_strength": -38.885123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.695979, "energy": 78.410986, "activity_lines": [ 5.194, 5.493273, 6.099095, 6.554022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.38, "volume": 184974516, "typical_volume": 62831556.5, "trend": 7.079333, "fair_value": 6.839103, "relative_strength": -33.093422, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.962441, "energy": 65.470263, "activity_lines": [ 5.228667, 5.417091, 5.98981, 6.437075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.94, "volume": 169055900, "typical_volume": 68287633.25, "trend": 6.989667, "fair_value": 6.844615, "relative_strength": -29.029882, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.964745, "energy": 51.973394, "activity_lines": [ 5.454, 5.472182, 5.945381, 6.36357 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }