{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0733992a-4375-45b9-81c1-dfafaedd3a4d", "symbol": "GALAXYSURF", "name": "Galaxy Surfactants Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 94.486, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.524, "architecture_energy": 43.504, "architecture_maturity": 19.711, "architecture_confidence": 78.483, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.73, "rotation_up": 55.27, "upward_expansion": 78.38, "deceleration": 60.95, "rotation_down": 20.53, "downward_expansion": 5.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 1977.982292, 1960.797152, 1905.057868, 1874.296045 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2066.699951, "trend_reference": 1852.510693, "distance_from_trend": 0.115621, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2381.759287, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.13228, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.802371, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.132066, "excess_performance": 0.175775, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.115621, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02241, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.13228, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080459, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.048024, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114312, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.132066, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.927549, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 96231, "relative_activity": 1.916124, "balance": 0.927549, "dry_up": 1.070215, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054204, "annualized_volatility": 0.343281, "from_high_reference": -0.158818, "from_low_reference": 0.368675 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1852.510693, "fair_value_reference": 2381.759287, "structural_low": 1510.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.000789, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026186, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.085951, "worst_return": -0.1439, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.063219, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.094145, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.08045, "worst_return": -0.179682, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.068297, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.151441, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": -0.000949, "worst_return": -0.265578, 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"fair_value": 2389.629746, "relative_strength": -0.247457, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.053402, "energy": 53.87432, "activity_lines": [ 1947.39209, 1918.681559, 1871.368072, 1854.232912 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1945.0, "volume": 44007, "typical_volume": 49900.6, "trend": 1848.600696, "fair_value": 2385.573068, "relative_strength": -0.991924, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.418284, "energy": 34.235392, "activity_lines": [ 1940.910702, 1929.795723, 1882.775591, 1860.225125 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2066.699951, "volume": 96231, "typical_volume": 50221.7, "trend": 1852.510693, "fair_value": 2381.759287, "relative_strength": 4.802371, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.523753, "energy": 43.504173, "activity_lines": [ 1977.982292, 1960.797152, 1905.057868, 1874.296045 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }