{ "ticker": { "uuid": "076d0955-5fd4-4035-9727-f6d5b9348aee", "symbol": "NANECH", "name": "NanoEcho AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.862, "architecture_energy": 39.34, "architecture_maturity": 35.909, "architecture_confidence": 95.795, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.27, "rotation_up": 15.16, "upward_expansion": 6.22, "deceleration": 42.87, "rotation_down": 60.68, "downward_expansion": 84.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.035133, 0.036731, 0.038125, 0.038578 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.034, "trend_reference": 0.04244, "distance_from_trend": -0.198862, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.116319, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.7077, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.623949, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.36077, "excess_performance": -0.422264, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.198862, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163525, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.7077, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025145, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.496239, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001905, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.36077, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.424352, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4007325, "relative_activity": 0.552828, "balance": 0.424352, "dry_up": 0.540423, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.262896, "annualized_volatility": 1.059114, "from_high_reference": -0.795673, "from_low_reference": 0.7 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.04244, "fair_value_reference": 0.116319, "structural_low": 0.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.137943, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.158885, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.109948, "worst_return": -0.165939, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.132321, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.257642, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 0.262, "volume": 4369512, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 0.3495, "volume": 3435668, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": 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"modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.906618, "energy": 20.646658, "activity_lines": [ 0.03752, 0.039302, 0.03878, 0.040546 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0368, "volume": 4894247, "typical_volume": 8690309.75, "trend": 0.04524, "fair_value": 0.117917, "relative_strength": -45.880112, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.67631, "energy": 27.350944, "activity_lines": [ 0.037, 0.038716, 0.038719, 0.039933 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.034, "volume": 3312975, "typical_volume": 7635223.15, "trend": 0.043756, "fair_value": 0.11711, "relative_strength": -49.565012, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.191358, "energy": 38.711132, "activity_lines": [ 0.035947, 0.03768, 0.038427, 0.039208 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.034, "volume": 4007325, "typical_volume": 7248779.65, "trend": 0.04244, "fair_value": 0.116319, "relative_strength": -49.623949, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.86248, "energy": 39.340031, "activity_lines": [ 0.035133, 0.036731, 0.038125, 0.038578 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }