{ "ticker": { "uuid": "076d95b2-862e-453f-989e-66a9fc64aa22", "symbol": "JINDALPHOT", "name": "Jindal Photo Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.271, "architecture_energy": 27.06, "architecture_maturity": 20.254, "architecture_confidence": 77.859, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.45, "rotation_up": 19.24, "upward_expansion": 12.85, "deceleration": 54.23, "rotation_down": 51.22, "downward_expansion": 67.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 1077.166659, 1094.641808, 1088.524275, 1108.366231 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1063.0, "trend_reference": 1164.095001, "distance_from_trend": -0.086844, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 886.929165, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.198517, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.910158, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.232546, "excess_performance": -0.188837, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.086844, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092214, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.198517, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153147, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.119102, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106431, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.232546, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.726018, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9253, "relative_activity": 0.318899, "balance": 0.726018, "dry_up": 1.232895, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073406, "annualized_volatility": 0.412328, "from_high_reference": -0.342447, "from_low_reference": 0.335427 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1164.095001, "fair_value_reference": 886.929165, "structural_low": 976.799988, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.067014, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.032102, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.692503, "worst_return": -0.153902, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.178957, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.117592, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.748328, "worst_return": -0.326433, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.264833, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.152406, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.435238, "worst_return": 0.031563, "sufficient": false }, { 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.069866, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.191086, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.197728, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.046058, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.370216, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Established", 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1083.88665, 1070.318166, 1089.709993, 1149.276989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1172.599976, "volume": 4645, "typical_volume": 58169.75, "trend": 1231.308339, "fair_value": 862.81923, "relative_strength": 0.370451, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.741209, "energy": 18.06061, "activity_lines": [ 1117.153312, 1088.697256, 1093.641657, 1144.843546 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1146.0, "volume": 12063, "typical_volume": 56297.1, "trend": 1218.598338, "fair_value": 867.946473, "relative_strength": -2.161163, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.844616, "energy": 15.952941, "activity_lines": [ 1130.133317, 1100.787258, 1096.358562, 1139.339782 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1111.900024, "volume": 107550, "typical_volume": 60162.75, "trend": 1205.535004, "fair_value": 872.854807, "relative_strength": -5.933286, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.778451, "energy": 13.932332, "activity_lines": [ 1127.446663, 1106.027265, 1096.841183, 1132.45602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1076.099976, "volume": 14787, "typical_volume": 58896.75, "trend": 1191.365005, "fair_value": 877.626601, "relative_strength": -7.178847, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.105337, "energy": 15.38657, "activity_lines": [ 1111.966659, 1104.849081, 1094.690943, 1124.105373 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1061.099976, "volume": 11502, "typical_volume": 31794.1, "trend": 1176.691669, "fair_value": 882.243909, "relative_strength": -11.083131, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.347774, "energy": 21.672513, "activity_lines": [ 1094.013322, 1100.127261, 1091.220227, 1115.701177 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1063.0, "volume": 9253, "typical_volume": 29015.45, "trend": 1164.095001, "fair_value": 886.929165, "relative_strength": -11.910158, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.271389, "energy": 27.060231, "activity_lines": [ 1077.166659, 1094.641808, 1088.524275, 1108.366231 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }