{ "ticker": { "uuid": "077082dc-43a4-416b-9668-ed5029336a96", "symbol": "GNK", "name": "Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.582, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.568, "architecture_energy": 42.086, "architecture_maturity": 15.706, "architecture_confidence": 85.355, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.95, "rotation_up": 57.12, "upward_expansion": 79.17, "deceleration": 54.29, "rotation_down": 16.79, "downward_expansion": 5.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.524667, 25.088182, 24.656346, 24.076898 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 25.33, "trend_reference": 23.104387, "distance_from_trend": 0.096329, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.535599, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.531847, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.898472, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.266424, "excess_performance": 0.140799, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.096329, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115395, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.531847, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122593, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.108985, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.180342, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.266424, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.419228, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2444119, "relative_activity": 1.545627, "balance": 0.419228, "dry_up": 0.973066, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072677, "annualized_volatility": 0.385517, "from_high_reference": -0.057136, "from_low_reference": 0.705976 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.104387, "fair_value_reference": 16.535599, "structural_low": 18.879411, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.028518, "positive_rate": 0.655172, "directional_follow_through": 0.655172, "median_excess_return": 0.019378, "regime_survival": 0.724138, "best_return": 0.1998, "worst_return": -0.311787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.000154, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.066106, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.282703, "worst_return": -0.286329, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.118083, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.195551, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.451252, "worst_return": -0.434766, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 1763161.9, "trend": 22.604107, "fair_value": 16.359083, "relative_strength": 24.119603, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.513529, "energy": 56.972581, "activity_lines": [ 25.295333, 24.763636, 24.366821, 23.728358 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.54, "volume": 1343407, "typical_volume": 1612082.6, "trend": 22.863525, "fair_value": 16.448915, "relative_strength": 16.377607, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.454626, "energy": 52.613469, "activity_lines": [ 25.510667, 24.964545, 24.53601, 23.917771 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.33, "volume": 2444119, "typical_volume": 1581312.55, "trend": 23.104387, "fair_value": 16.535599, "relative_strength": 10.898472, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.567683, "energy": 42.085815, "activity_lines": [ 25.524667, 25.088182, 24.656346, 24.076898 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }