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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.955, "architecture_energy": 68.935, "architecture_maturity": 81.449, "architecture_confidence": 75.109, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.12, "rotation_up": 55.22, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.19, "rotation_down": 28.53, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 424.931999, 422.963999, 416.566763, 407.871055 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 433.369995, "trend_reference": 397.733002, "distance_from_trend": 0.0896, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 336.67843, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.287193, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.353325, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.142853, "excess_performance": 0.089542, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.0896, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041706, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.287193, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042008, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.053533, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034504, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142853, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.879925, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18518, "relative_activity": 0.758299, "balance": 2.879925, "dry_up": 0.772498, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017139, "annualized_volatility": 0.108601, "from_high_reference": -0.001452, "from_low_reference": 0.240754 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 397.733002, "fair_value_reference": 336.67843, "structural_low": 360.869995, 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421.881999, 419.563272, 410.001097, 402.048217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 422.109985, "volume": 20946, "typical_volume": 26435.15, "trend": 394.655334, "fair_value": 334.554985, "relative_strength": 7.181009, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.543257, "energy": 64.835137, "activity_lines": [ 422.141327, 420.425997, 412.151334, 403.919635 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 418.640015, "volume": 19499, "typical_volume": 26335.45, "trend": 396.107668, "fair_value": 335.563472, "relative_strength": 4.425526, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.292039, "energy": 60.263497, "activity_lines": [ 421.139333, 420.398909, 413.756811, 405.467034 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 433.369995, "volume": 18518, "typical_volume": 24420.45, "trend": 397.733002, "fair_value": 336.67843, "relative_strength": 5.353325, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.955379, "energy": 68.935012, "activity_lines": [ 424.931999, 422.963999, 416.566763, 407.871055 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }