{ "ticker": { "uuid": "079d3408-0745-4cd7-919e-16f4e909130f", "symbol": "SNDA", "name": "Sonida Senior Living Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.719, "architecture_energy": 39.543, "architecture_maturity": 92.034, "architecture_confidence": 82.272, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.3, "rotation_up": 54.43, "upward_expansion": 78.05, "deceleration": 60.58, "rotation_down": 19.31, "downward_expansion": 4.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.677333, 40.145273, 38.595286, 37.464688 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 40.3, "trend_reference": 36.022333, "distance_from_trend": 0.11875, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.210374, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.598548, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.304363, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.178707, "excess_performance": 0.053082, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11875, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068954, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.598548, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084207, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.093044, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061753, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.178707, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.088766, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1907511, "relative_activity": 0.620653, "balance": 1.088766, "dry_up": 0.690426, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092236, "annualized_volatility": 0.286196, "from_high_reference": -0.092036, "from_low_reference": 0.680567 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.022333, "fair_value_reference": 25.210374, "structural_low": 30.65, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.054549, "positive_rate": 0.65, "directional_follow_through": 0.65, "median_excess_return": 0.041532, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 1.356757, "worst_return": -0.509615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.094727, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.065164, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 1.915315, "worst_return": -0.386538, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.285608, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.19123, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.382883, "worst_return": -0.459423, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.735195, "energy": 64.535483, "activity_lines": [ 39.683333, 38.127455, 36.901571, 36.051613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 40.84, "volume": 2379201, "typical_volume": 3331240.6, "trend": 35.160333, "fair_value": 24.614092, "relative_strength": 17.423, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.945807, "energy": 70.364805, "activity_lines": [ 40.448667, 38.725455, 37.365048, 36.435011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.69, "volume": 1587245, "typical_volume": 3383564.2, "trend": 35.474333, "fair_value": 24.818643, "relative_strength": 19.706634, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.981222, "energy": 72.152742, "activity_lines": [ 41.111333, 39.431273, 37.885905, 36.85628 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.36, "volume": 2613850, "typical_volume": 3291087.75, "trend": 35.755333, "fair_value": 25.015117, "relative_strength": 13.927937, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.029888, "energy": 51.9997, "activity_lines": [ 40.948667, 39.824182, 38.256048, 37.171484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.3, "volume": 1907511, "typical_volume": 3073393.3, "trend": 36.022333, "fair_value": 25.210374, "relative_strength": 9.304363, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.719143, "energy": 39.542891, "activity_lines": [ 40.677333, 40.145273, 38.595286, 37.464688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }