{ "ticker": { "uuid": "07a423fb-21e1-4172-9fed-1976e00727d2", "symbol": "BANG", "name": "Bang Overseas Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.397, "architecture_energy": 55.965, "architecture_maturity": 29.881, "architecture_confidence": 93.062, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.26, "rotation_up": 18.02, "upward_expansion": 9.57, "deceleration": 46.3, "rotation_down": 61.68, "downward_expansion": 82.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.369333, 30.053818, 32.541333, 33.879506 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 30.01, "trend_reference": 36.310333, "distance_from_trend": -0.173514, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.425962, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.40487, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.081067, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.346757, "excess_performance": -0.303048, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.173514, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151086, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.40487, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1862, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.290811, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145818, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.346757, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.158955, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59344, "relative_activity": 0.726067, "balance": 0.158955, "dry_up": 1.659955, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104939, "annualized_volatility": 0.477894, "from_high_reference": -0.516514, "from_low_reference": 0.141065 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.310333, "fair_value_reference": 50.425962, "structural_low": 26.299999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.002535, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.023389, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.13925, "worst_return": -0.19931, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.043606, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.044176, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.275615, "worst_return": -0.363731, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.1359, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.013669, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.249617, "worst_return": -0.338446, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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33.997238, 35.48071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.1, "volume": 97164, "typical_volume": 82862.35, "trend": 37.482333, "fair_value": 50.661026, "relative_strength": -32.686925, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.569593, "energy": 78.944044, "activity_lines": [ 29.367333, 30.956364, 33.373667, 34.832065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.57, "volume": 85443, "typical_volume": 82676.95, "trend": 36.862333, "fair_value": 50.538398, "relative_strength": -30.242886, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.342992, "energy": 66.239158, "activity_lines": [ 29.216667, 30.399818, 32.925714, 34.321592 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.01, "volume": 59344, "typical_volume": 81733.55, "trend": 36.310333, "fair_value": 50.425962, "relative_strength": -29.081067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.397361, "energy": 55.965176, "activity_lines": [ 29.369333, 30.053818, 32.541333, 33.879506 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }