{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "07a63ac0-a358-4677-bfe0-ca81ba1f1f74",
    "symbol": "000776",
    "name": "GF Securities Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 48.299,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 6.644,
    "architecture_energy": 6.791,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.128,
    "architecture_confidence": 51.949,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 66.98,
        "rotation_up": 22.73,
        "upward_expansion": 30.3,
        "deceleration": 68.68,
        "rotation_down": 31.81,
        "downward_expansion": 18.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        21.00718,
        21.232013,
        20.740841,
        20.511769
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 20.940001,
    "trend_reference": 20.559086,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.018528,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 16.516521,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.267822,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.054957,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.068919,
    "excess_performance": -0.076319,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018528,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013069,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.267822,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045435,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04055,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109861,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068919,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.703491,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 296703586,
      "relative_activity": 1.061023,
      "balance": 0.703491,
      "dry_up": 1.389114,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075979,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.30182,
      "from_high_reference": -0.146778,
      "from_low_reference": 0.185731
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 20.559086,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.516521,
      "structural_low": 17.66,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.017698,
        "positive_rate": 0.5625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008455,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.31538,
        "worst_return": -0.122361,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.039271,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007472,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.327465,
        "worst_return": -0.205089,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.111085,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010218,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.604578,
        "worst_return": -0.127659,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.039895,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.125182,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.685772,
        "worst_return": -0.156266,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.109647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.100132,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.007353,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.08605,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.307372,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.079443,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.09317,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.000473,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072937,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.099494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 269868251.75,
        "trend": 20.639879,
        "fair_value": 16.424228,
        "relative_strength": 0.193324,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.428153,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 276739320.75,
        "trend": 20.595086,
        "fair_value": 16.46978,
        "relative_strength": 0.347911,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 10.27048,
        "energy": 9.522456,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.940001,
        "volume": 296703586,
        "typical_volume": 279639207.4,
        "trend": 20.559086,
        "fair_value": 16.516521,
        "relative_strength": -4.054957,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 6.644215,
        "energy": 6.791079,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}