{ "ticker": { "uuid": "07ad7dbb-5753-44fb-949a-2a96e675666a", "symbol": "GAME", "name": "GameSquare Holdings Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -14.824, "architecture_energy": 23.013, "architecture_maturity": 6.503, "architecture_confidence": 49.03, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.61, "rotation_up": 21.13, "upward_expansion": 18.09, "deceleration": 55.76, "rotation_down": 48.31, "downward_expansion": 45.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.349167, 0.3594, 0.386689, 0.37978 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.3618, "trend_reference": 0.373483, "distance_from_trend": -0.031282, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.985825, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.632998, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.61648, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.160731, "excess_performance": -0.026722, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031282, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091209, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.632998, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014659, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.346165, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038616, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.160731, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.645176, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2537281, "relative_activity": 0.094782, "balance": 0.645176, "dry_up": 0.122057, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.217629, "annualized_volatility": 1.018318, "from_high_reference": -0.668073, "from_low_reference": 0.539574 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.373483, "fair_value_reference": 0.985825, "structural_low": 0.235, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.050656, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.011876, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.469127, "worst_return": -0.367816, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.395402, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.461112, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.395402, "worst_return": -0.395402, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.650575, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.801008, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.650575, "worst_return": -0.650575, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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"red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.015769, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.087876, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.049852, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.184469, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.571111, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.224569, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.3575, "volume": 4375945, "typical_volume": 27009227.8, "trend": 0.38041, "fair_value": 1.016356, "relative_strength": -35.307324, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.457214, "energy": 28.916996, "activity_lines": [ 0.350767, 0.372178, 0.39399, 0.383671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3354, "volume": 1648341, "typical_volume": 26866664.5, "trend": 0.37709, "fair_value": 0.999532, "relative_strength": -38.1934, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.378579, "energy": 38.531951, "activity_lines": [ 0.343747, 0.362276, 0.389183, 0.380767 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.3618, "volume": 2537281, "typical_volume": 26769597.25, "trend": 0.373483, "fair_value": 0.985825, "relative_strength": -34.61648, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.824489, "energy": 23.013331, "activity_lines": [ 0.349167, 0.3594, 0.386689, 0.37978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }