{ "ticker": { "uuid": "07b81d07-8cda-4687-9062-7f221138ba98", "symbol": "ALSPT", "name": "Spartoo SAS", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 59.194, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -20.509, "architecture_energy": 16.317, "architecture_maturity": 78.862, "architecture_confidence": 72.459, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.74, "rotation_up": 23.23, "upward_expansion": 11.85, "deceleration": 55.23, "rotation_down": 40.76, "downward_expansion": 66.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.227867, 0.227673, 0.22809, 0.231037 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.24, "trend_reference": 0.236567, "distance_from_trend": 0.014513, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.389872, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.384413, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.896696, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.076233, "excess_performance": 0.022922, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014513, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116959, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.384413, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062816, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.228967, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064605, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.076233, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.324477, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69855, "relative_activity": 0.881787, "balance": 1.324477, "dry_up": 0.578025, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064744, "annualized_volatility": 0.368782, "from_high_reference": -0.473684, "from_low_reference": 0.153846 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.236567, "fair_value_reference": 0.389872, "structural_low": 0.208, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.003149, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018497, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.245353, "worst_return": -0.298571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.0625, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.093475, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.220183, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.188737, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.256168, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.219048, "worst_return": -0.313725, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 0.227267, 0.227491, 0.229186, 0.233828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.22, "volume": 65658, "typical_volume": 84499.45, "trend": 0.241733, "fair_value": 0.395474, "relative_strength": -28.12509, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.892181, "energy": 29.47192, "activity_lines": [ 0.2246, 0.226182, 0.228024, 0.232211 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.222, "volume": 14441, "typical_volume": 81158.2, "trend": 0.238467, "fair_value": 0.392487, "relative_strength": -27.796176, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.625525, "energy": 29.985348, "activity_lines": [ 0.223, 0.225327, 0.227157, 0.230938 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.24, "volume": 69855, "typical_volume": 79219.8, "trend": 0.236567, "fair_value": 0.389872, "relative_strength": -22.896696, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.509012, "energy": 16.317043, "activity_lines": [ 0.227867, 0.227673, 0.22809, 0.231037 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }