{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "07c58d99-6c19-4821-bea9-2d868547f939",
    "symbol": "IQVH",
    "name": "IQVIA Holdings Inc.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 73.068,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.21,
    "architecture_energy": 93.528,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.473,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.68,
        "rotation_up": 87.09,
        "upward_expansion": 99.91,
        "deceleration": 39.02,
        "rotation_down": 8.43,
        "downward_expansion": 21.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        194.903336,
        184.887275,
        170.530716,
        164.025808
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 204.100006,
    "trend_reference": 161.285001,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.265462,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 183.024359,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.115152,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.232731,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.293409,
    "excess_performance": 0.119163,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.265462,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033913,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115152,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.305856,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022327,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.192945,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.293409,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.95,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 63,
      "relative_activity": 1.671088,
      "balance": 4.95,
      "dry_up": 1.976127,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05806,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.422539,
      "from_high_reference": -0.059013,
      "from_low_reference": 0.567588
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 161.285001,
      "fair_value_reference": 183.024359,
      "structural_low": 130.199997,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.024004,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003066,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
        "best_return": 0.119276,
        "worst_return": -0.113778,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.075118,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.076125,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.180306,
        "worst_return": -0.178563,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.049087,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.171094,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.029019,
        "worst_return": -0.138646,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.125483,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.187046,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.067322,
        "worst_return": -0.247812,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.094913,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.113194,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.00697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.078211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.22764,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.064535,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.140528,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.080319,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.087137,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.067646,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.085551,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.119205,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
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        "return": 0.171935,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.119276,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 149.899994,
        "volume": 313,
        "typical_volume": 30.95,
        "trend": 170.583333,
        "fair_value": 185.222757,
        "relative_strength": -21.527196,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.731165,
        "energy": 44.909582,
        "activity_lines": [
          143.056663,
          143.903633,
          150.127141,
          159.778171
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 145.600006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.95,
        "trend": 169.601667,
        "fair_value": 184.979167,
        "relative_strength": -23.290875,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.539196,
        "energy": 47.239284,
        "activity_lines": [
          143.93,
          144.07818,
          148.636904,
          158.166344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 142.550003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.95,
        "trend": 168.005,
        "fair_value": 184.701923,
        "relative_strength": -26.28412,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.739982,
        "energy": 43.275642,
        "activity_lines": [
          143.523335,
          143.77909,
          147.065952,
          156.421075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 155.600006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 28.4,
        "trend": 166.946667,
        "fair_value": 184.489103,
        "relative_strength": -21.591194,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.808677,
        "energy": 21.597361,
        "activity_lines": [
          147.973337,
          145.884546,
          146.977143,
          155.620753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 160.550003,
        "volume": 59,
        "typical_volume": 31.35,
        "trend": 166.265,
        "fair_value": 184.300321,
        "relative_strength": -18.063653,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -5.586296,
        "energy": 14.228827,
        "activity_lines": [
          152.92667,
          148.669092,
          147.616905,
          155.208065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 155.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 31.35,
        "trend": 165.018334,
        "fair_value": 184.02468,
        "relative_strength": -22.794644,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.03993,
        "energy": 18.395323,
        "activity_lines": [
          154.313336,
          150.128183,
          147.952619,
          154.481291
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 145.850006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 31.35,
        "trend": 163.460001,
        "fair_value": 183.708334,
        "relative_strength": -29.977675,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.873382,
        "energy": 19.941328,
        "activity_lines": [
          152.310004,
          149.84273,
          147.634048,
          153.244624
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 165.350006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 26.15,
        "trend": 162.330001,
        "fair_value": 183.450962,
        "relative_strength": -18.884419,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 10.701635,
        "energy": 20.20234,
        "activity_lines": [
          156.790004,
          153.026367,
          149.400239,
          153.36656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 181.649994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 23.65,
        "trend": 161.941667,
        "fair_value": 183.347436,
        "relative_strength": -12.847768,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 46.097295,
        "energy": 52.899198,
        "activity_lines": [
          165.183334,
          158.897275,
          152.682858,
          154.613011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 182.350006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 23.3,
        "trend": 161.633334,
        "fair_value": 183.2625,
        "relative_strength": -11.270223,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 46.132926,
        "energy": 67.33949,
        "activity_lines": [
          172.073336,
          164.109094,
          155.843335,
          155.929678
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 181.850006,
        "volume": 60,
        "typical_volume": 26.3,
        "trend": 161.376667,
        "fair_value": 183.110898,
        "relative_strength": -9.71793,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 48.241571,
        "energy": 76.023804,
        "activity_lines": [
          177.343337,
          168.365458,
          158.753811,
          157.23398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 183.800003,
        "volume": 96,
        "typical_volume": 30.6,
        "trend": 161.181668,
        "fair_value": 182.984616,
        "relative_strength": -9.590322,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.477124,
        "energy": 78.09151,
        "activity_lines": [
          181.473337,
          172.395458,
          161.67405,
          158.680646
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 201.399994,
        "volume": 79,
        "typical_volume": 34.55,
        "trend": 161.468334,
        "fair_value": 183.001282,
        "relative_strength": -0.725631,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 61.386262,
        "energy": 83.264643,
        "activity_lines": [
          188.94,
          178.930911,
          166.109763,
          161.275377
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 204.100006,
        "volume": 63,
        "typical_volume": 37.7,
        "trend": 161.285001,
        "fair_value": 183.024359,
        "relative_strength": -2.232731,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.210393,
        "energy": 93.527862,
        "activity_lines": [
          194.903336,
          184.887275,
          170.530716,
          164.025808
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}