{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "07c5aa2a-a645-4eae-94d6-e25dc98b5966",
    "symbol": "LYPU",
    "name": "Amundi Australia (S&P/ASX 200) UCITS ETF - D-EUR",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.239,
    "architecture_energy": 81.473,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.61,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.715,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.18,
        "rotation_up": 80.19,
        "upward_expansion": 92.34,
        "deceleration": 42.07,
        "rotation_down": 10.0,
        "downward_expansion": 16.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        56.518667,
        55.879272,
        55.381952,
        55.003118
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 58.290001,
    "trend_reference": 54.47,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.07013,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 48.080615,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.212339,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.591246,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.105862,
    "excess_performance": 0.041223,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07013,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037273,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.212339,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041643,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025912,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043802,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105862,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.427059,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11544,
      "relative_activity": 1.722947,
      "balance": 2.427059,
      "dry_up": 0.971732,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01965,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.158209,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001199,
      "from_low_reference": 0.227362
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54.47,
      "fair_value_reference": 48.080615,
      "structural_low": 51.220001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.00149,
        "positive_rate": 0.514286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.514286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003616,
        "regime_survival": 0.685714,
        "best_return": 0.087024,
        "worst_return": -0.10556,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.026622,
        "positive_rate": 0.642857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.642857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004518,
        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
        "best_return": 0.172965,
        "worst_return": -0.091969,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.028495,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.026321,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.023057,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": -0.008997,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "relative_strength": 7.558271,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 54.939999,
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        "typical_volume": 11650.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 12350.65,
        "trend": 52.244908,
        "fair_value": 47.009093,
        "relative_strength": 7.145912,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 50.214211,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 12504.65,
        "trend": 52.365291,
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        "relative_strength": 3.252469,
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        "energy": 24.079994,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 12137.8,
        "trend": 52.51271,
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        "relative_strength": 3.499833,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 25.62668,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 53.77,
        "volume": 1612,
        "typical_volume": 11862.9,
        "trend": 52.665222,
        "fair_value": 47.259267,
        "relative_strength": 2.154944,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 1189,
        "typical_volume": 11671.7,
        "trend": 52.875017,
        "fair_value": 47.339964,
        "relative_strength": 5.65701,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 33.859825,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 53.296853,
        "fair_value": 47.520063,
        "relative_strength": 3.668989,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.304567,
        "energy": 26.867522,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 116,
        "typical_volume": 9602.9,
        "trend": 53.4725,
        "fair_value": 47.613308,
        "relative_strength": -0.458714,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 30.754484,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 9903,
        "typical_volume": 8164.15,
        "trend": 53.664166,
        "fair_value": 47.698647,
        "relative_strength": 2.526805,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.942111,
        "energy": 30.802401,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.03,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 55.349998,
        "volume": 5115,
        "typical_volume": 7051.6,
        "trend": 53.858,
        "fair_value": 47.786275,
        "relative_strength": 3.742824,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.237502,
        "energy": 29.983441,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.111999,
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          54.787333,
          54.504193
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.68,
        "volume": 2385,
        "typical_volume": 6687.9,
        "trend": 54.03,
        "fair_value": 47.872987,
        "relative_strength": 3.044125,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.096337,
        "energy": 41.191653,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.309999,
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          54.905904,
          54.621742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 55.869999,
        "volume": 6999,
        "typical_volume": 6617.65,
        "trend": 54.218666,
        "fair_value": 47.967355,
        "relative_strength": 1.141555,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.093833,
        "energy": 50.071909,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.550666,
          55.305454,
          55.033904,
          54.740451
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 58.290001,
        "volume": 11544,
        "typical_volume": 6700.15,
        "trend": 54.47,
        "fair_value": 48.080615,
        "relative_strength": 2.591246,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.238984,
        "energy": 81.47318,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.518667,
          55.879272,
          55.381952,
          55.003118
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}