{ "ticker": { "uuid": "07ce04a6-fede-47a8-bd6c-a9f465925100", "symbol": "5HH", "name": "Prospera Global Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -76.461, "architecture_energy": 91.698, "architecture_maturity": 48.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.397, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.65, "rotation_up": 8.17, "upward_expansion": 21.99, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 86.14, "downward_expansion": 99.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.014933, 0.019855, 0.025333, 0.031471 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.014, "trend_reference": 0.0413, "distance_from_trend": -0.661017, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.025891, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.459272, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -71.03092, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.740741, "excess_performance": -0.895576, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.661017, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.204239, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.459272, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.596851, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.710309, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.46313, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.740741, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.516589, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 830100, "relative_activity": 0.200527, "balance": 0.516589, "dry_up": 1.40089, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.252747, "annualized_volatility": 0.895062, "from_high_reference": -0.835294, "from_low_reference": 0.166667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0413, "fair_value_reference": 0.025891, "structural_low": 0.012, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.090909, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.606061, "median_excess_return": -0.085986, "regime_survival": 0.878788, "best_return": 0.666667, "worst_return": -0.535714, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.1875, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.175164, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 4.125, "worst_return": -0.6, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.0625, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.182576, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 3.5, "worst_return": -0.722222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"color": "green", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.285714, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.1875, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.307692, "active": false 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.964088, "energy": 88.020889, "activity_lines": [ 0.028333, 0.030109, 0.033338, 0.039402 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.018, "volume": 789900, "typical_volume": 3613385.0, "trend": 0.045967, "fair_value": 0.026224, "relative_strength": -61.745224, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -97.458092, "energy": 98.523353, "activity_lines": [ 0.0246, 0.027745, 0.031362, 0.03752 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.013, "volume": 15868500, "typical_volume": 4190760.0, "trend": 0.044667, "fair_value": 0.026109, "relative_strength": -72.688248, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -97.548675, "energy": 98.858301, "activity_lines": [ 0.020133, 0.024691, 0.02911, 0.035394 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.013, "volume": 5708000, "typical_volume": 4333855.0, "trend": 0.043133, "fair_value": 0.026, "relative_strength": -72.818024, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.307145, "energy": 96.856742, "activity_lines": [ 0.016867, 0.022, 0.027062, 0.033351 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.014, "volume": 830100, "typical_volume": 4139600.0, "trend": 0.0413, "fair_value": 0.025891, "relative_strength": -71.03092, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.461011, "energy": 91.697734, "activity_lines": [ 0.014933, 0.019855, 0.025333, 0.031471 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }