{ "ticker": { "uuid": "07dc67c9-0504-4e9a-90d2-03d9a6fb4598", "symbol": "BLKASHYAP", "name": "B.L. Kashyap and Sons Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 60.484, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.936, "architecture_energy": 26.845, "architecture_maturity": 21.933, "architecture_confidence": 79.919, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.45, "rotation_up": 46.23, "upward_expansion": 75.36, "deceleration": 57.41, "rotation_down": 21.17, "downward_expansion": 2.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.501333, 55.29909, 55.044666, 54.001591 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 55.98, "trend_reference": 52.580333, "distance_from_trend": 0.064657, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 67.094872, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.165659, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.196279, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.023962, "excess_performance": 0.067671, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064657, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025591, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.165659, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077698, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.021963, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034824, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.023962, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.806021, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2493800, "relative_activity": 1.062374, "balance": 1.806021, "dry_up": 1.527578, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072182, "annualized_volatility": 0.394854, "from_high_reference": -0.25756, "from_low_reference": 0.388393 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.580333, "fair_value_reference": 67.094872, "structural_low": 40.32, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.016632, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.01601, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.401253, "worst_return": -0.222426, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.055319, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.06078, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.384314, "worst_return": -0.243676, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.014553, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.013355, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.535445, "worst_return": -0.092934, "sufficient": false }, { 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.57395, "energy": 23.66585, "activity_lines": [ 54.845333, 54.834181, 54.112809, 53.084279 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 57.919998, "volume": 9273367, "typical_volume": 2497890.0, "trend": 52.156333, "fair_value": 66.84423, "relative_strength": 4.943127, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.283025, "energy": 37.296617, "activity_lines": [ 55.948666, 55.315999, 54.594857, 53.472021 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.560001, "volume": 1316222, "typical_volume": 2484827.95, "trend": 52.301667, "fair_value": 66.925064, "relative_strength": 1.713488, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.186357, "energy": 28.113313, "activity_lines": [ 55.653999, 55.228545, 54.727857, 53.627097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.459999, "volume": 1259864, "typical_volume": 2391011.7, "trend": 52.333666, "fair_value": 67.011666, "relative_strength": -0.339311, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.649303, "energy": 25.201871, "activity_lines": [ 55.319999, 55.100181, 54.827142, 53.766344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.98, "volume": 2493800, "typical_volume": 2347384.5, "trend": 52.580333, "fair_value": 67.094872, "relative_strength": 2.196279, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.936416, "energy": 26.845361, "activity_lines": [ 55.501333, 55.29909, 55.044666, 54.001591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }