{ "ticker": { "uuid": "07ddbee1-82b0-49e2-b9b9-8ff7b43d199b", "symbol": "W1IX34", "name": "Wix.com Ltd.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.456, "architecture_energy": 24.099, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 68.112, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.63, "rotation_up": 28.67, "upward_expansion": 21.45, "deceleration": 46.98, "rotation_down": 20.58, "downward_expansion": 55.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.326667, 8.862364, 9.262143, 10.239032 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 10.1, "trend_reference": 11.494, "distance_from_trend": -0.121281, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.957628, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.578422, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -43.202269, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.241742, "excess_performance": -0.184693, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.121281, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.235602, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.578422, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10936, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.432023, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072882, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.241742, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.591961, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6558, "relative_activity": 1.248358, "balance": 1.591961, "dry_up": 1.145946, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115232, "annualized_volatility": 0.884541, "from_high_reference": -0.693382, "from_low_reference": 0.370421 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.494, "fair_value_reference": 23.957628, "structural_low": 7.37, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.024654, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.590909, "median_excess_return": -0.072288, "regime_survival": 0.863636, "best_return": 0.41601, "worst_return": -0.352986, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.055071, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.116362, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.163693, "worst_return": -0.420257, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.01643, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.102856, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.279461, "worst_return": -0.535903, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "amber", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.400488, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.054473, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.016529, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.292661, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.232237, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.74, "volume": 7545, "typical_volume": 6001.6, "trend": 12.408333, "fair_value": 24.064487, "relative_strength": -54.586979, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.307521, "energy": 56.621541, "activity_lines": [ 8.431333, 8.407273, 9.658333, 10.759011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.73, "volume": 3745, "typical_volume": 4638.05, "trend": 12.047333, "fair_value": 24.031731, "relative_strength": -53.401881, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.8756, "energy": 47.579264, "activity_lines": [ 8.612, 8.435455, 9.430571, 10.521699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.3, "volume": 6232, "typical_volume": 4938.6, "trend": 11.734, "fair_value": 23.989038, "relative_strength": -50.29832, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.918767, "energy": 37.256587, "activity_lines": [ 8.892, 8.579455, 9.293143, 10.344452 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.1, "volume": 6558, "typical_volume": 5253.3, "trend": 11.494, "fair_value": 23.957628, "relative_strength": -43.202269, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.456349, "energy": 24.098848, "activity_lines": [ 9.326667, 8.862364, 9.262143, 10.239032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }