{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "07dff8fc-fafa-4a07-b091-9adc506c7d85",
    "symbol": "QCOM34",
    "name": "QUALCOMM Incorporated",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 76.164,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -18.554,
    "architecture_energy": 28.775,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.024,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.755,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.12,
        "rotation_up": 14.4,
        "upward_expansion": 16.17,
        "deceleration": 61.76,
        "rotation_down": 60.32,
        "downward_expansion": 41.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        69.492666,
        74.743454,
        79.269403,
        75.862664
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 70.699997,
    "trend_reference": 71.823418,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.015641,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 70.338415,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.005141,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.909535,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.186214,
    "excess_performance": 0.243262,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015641,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008694,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005141,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.330961,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079095,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.158893,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186214,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.050407,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 167336,
      "relative_activity": 1.584457,
      "balance": 1.050407,
      "dry_up": 1.21953,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.180877,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.702873,
      "from_high_reference": -0.355469,
      "from_low_reference": 0.345293
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 71.823418,
      "fair_value_reference": 70.338415,
      "structural_low": 52.553593,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.022771,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006456,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.052714,
        "worst_return": -0.144757,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.201513,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.169202,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.029819,
        "worst_return": -0.284149,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.017946,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035369,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.099854,
        "worst_return": -0.130896,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.162586,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.190836,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.126954,
        "worst_return": -0.198219,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.050709,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008486,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.15334,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.044956,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.028188,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.060358,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.002974,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.124019,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.031901,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.168045,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.061846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.13196,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.109684,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 8582.15,
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        "typical_volume": 44775.7,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 2369,
        "typical_volume": 96081.95,
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        "fair_value": 69.556544,
        "relative_strength": -3.427899,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 88353.4,
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        "fair_value": 69.765483,
        "relative_strength": -1.695054,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 22.067448,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 73.419998,
        "volume": 106615,
        "typical_volume": 91662.6,
        "trend": 73.064827,
        "fair_value": 69.930499,
        "relative_strength": -6.467498,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.044901,
        "energy": 23.129481,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.568667,
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          81.423478,
          76.758681
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 71.0,
        "volume": 57011,
        "typical_volume": 90056.7,
        "trend": 72.723698,
        "fair_value": 70.071898,
        "relative_strength": -9.218831,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.132097,
        "energy": 21.35585,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.78,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 62.41,
        "volume": 184221,
        "typical_volume": 97763.8,
        "trend": 72.209723,
        "fair_value": 70.172968,
        "relative_strength": -21.449494,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.380814,
        "energy": 31.132338,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.122,
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          79.768619,
          75.960066
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 70.699997,
        "volume": 167336,
        "typical_volume": 105610.95,
        "trend": 71.823418,
        "fair_value": 70.338415,
        "relative_strength": -7.909535,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.553508,
        "energy": 28.774681,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}