{ "ticker": { "uuid": "07e96eb6-8790-4233-974d-e46673a54b32", "symbol": "001318", "name": "Jiangxi Sunshine Dairy Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.51, "architecture_energy": 43.754, "architecture_maturity": 97.857, "architecture_confidence": 60.775, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.96, "rotation_up": 27.15, "upward_expansion": 18.89, "deceleration": 67.0, "rotation_down": 42.68, "downward_expansion": 68.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.519333, 10.450941, 11.073053, 11.790525 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 10.89, "trend_reference": 12.837676, "distance_from_trend": -0.151716, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.54778, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.132117, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.350766, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.275931, "excess_performance": -0.283331, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.151716, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108635, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.132117, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169479, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.233508, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01431, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.275931, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.042923, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23431100, "relative_activity": 1.891509, "balance": 1.042923, "dry_up": 2.221814, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079968, "annualized_volatility": 0.300756, "from_high_reference": -0.389232, "from_low_reference": 0.146316 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.837676, "fair_value_reference": 12.54778, "structural_low": 9.5, 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"gate": "down", "direction": -74.50249, "energy": 85.679643, "activity_lines": [ 10.313973, 10.786873, 11.736297, 12.518807 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.5, "volume": 21943700, "typical_volume": 9931119.25, "trend": 13.40601, "fair_value": 12.608448, "relative_strength": -25.237992, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.572642, "energy": 66.660527, "activity_lines": [ 10.34, 10.641114, 11.542248, 12.322204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.56, "volume": 21440880, "typical_volume": 10153702.8, "trend": 13.16101, "fair_value": 12.583227, "relative_strength": -31.59009, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.338774, "energy": 70.646831, "activity_lines": [ 10.082, 10.373928, 11.280246, 12.074074 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.87, "volume": 43275373, "typical_volume": 11732526.55, "trend": 12.99401, "fair_value": 12.568334, "relative_strength": -20.49277, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.157438, "energy": 56.832126, "activity_lines": [ 10.326667, 10.399923, 11.167483, 11.926267 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.89, "volume": 23431100, "typical_volume": 12387516.55, "trend": 12.837676, "fair_value": 12.54778, "relative_strength": -23.350766, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.509952, "energy": 43.754079, "activity_lines": [ 10.519333, 10.450941, 11.073053, 11.790525 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }