{ "ticker": { "uuid": "07ebc1e6-5cb1-4c6c-a7d1-43bfdedada3d", "symbol": "Q0X", "name": "Ley Choon Group Holdings Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.746, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.013, "architecture_energy": 45.389, "architecture_maturity": 27.737, "architecture_confidence": 89.458, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.56, "rotation_up": 23.47, "upward_expansion": 6.87, "deceleration": 51.96, "rotation_down": 49.16, "downward_expansion": 77.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.090333, 0.090855, 0.095029, 0.098181 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.089, "trend_reference": 0.102933, "distance_from_trend": -0.135363, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.062646, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.420691, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.24844, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.282258, "excess_performance": -0.437093, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.135363, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04607, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.420691, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.436567, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.192484, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.316605, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.282258, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.104301, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 639100, "relative_activity": 0.136033, "balance": 2.104301, "dry_up": 0.157978, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070009, "annualized_volatility": 0.374707, "from_high_reference": -0.325758, "from_low_reference": 0.219178 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.102933, "fair_value_reference": 0.062646, "structural_low": 0.083, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.027394, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.018188, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.157907, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.160723, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.138711, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.25, "worst_return": 0.071445, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.343237, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.277819, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.472215, "worst_return": 0.214258, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.035718, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.017545, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.251622, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.050633, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.066667, 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.028548, "energy": 73.739826, "activity_lines": [ 0.0902, 0.093327, 0.097405, 0.10052 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.092, "volume": 614400, "typical_volume": 5786015.0, "trend": 0.102833, "fair_value": 0.061949, "relative_strength": -15.459874, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.480272, "energy": 65.929918, "activity_lines": [ 0.090667, 0.092509, 0.096681, 0.09986 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.091, "volume": 199000, "typical_volume": 5202055.0, "trend": 0.1032, "fair_value": 0.062304, "relative_strength": -16.736965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.618944, "energy": 51.950315, "activity_lines": [ 0.0908, 0.091764, 0.095919, 0.099097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.089, "volume": 639100, "typical_volume": 4698110.0, "trend": 0.102933, "fair_value": 0.062646, "relative_strength": -19.24844, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.012622, "energy": 45.389141, "activity_lines": [ 0.090333, 0.090855, 0.095029, 0.098181 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }