{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "07f7cec7-5e8b-4e3d-926b-d07f15acf573",
    "symbol": "VIS",
    "name": "VANGUARD WORLD FUND VANGUARD INDUSTRIALS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.102,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.891,
    "architecture_energy": 35.205,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.774,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.322,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.71,
        "rotation_up": 42.31,
        "upward_expansion": 70.48,
        "deceleration": 70.56,
        "rotation_down": 25.99,
        "downward_expansion": 8.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        350.226667,
        350.166933,
        345.713971,
        340.979608
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 356.83,
    "trend_reference": 335.68243,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.062999,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 264.625715,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.348433,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.08261,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.065778,
    "excess_performance": -0.059847,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062999,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052971,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.348433,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006509,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000826,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000813,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065778,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.310049,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 583172,
      "relative_activity": 1.373527,
      "balance": 1.310049,
      "dry_up": 0.900896,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03551,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.145655,
      "from_high_reference": -0.014853,
      "from_low_reference": 0.271871
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 335.68243,
      "fair_value_reference": 264.625715,
      "structural_low": 300.9173,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.000238,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017318,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
        "best_return": 0.091386,
        "worst_return": -0.063457,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.007368,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021655,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.147326,
        "worst_return": -0.040401,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.08991,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029003,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.132586,
        "worst_return": 0.028949,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.086166,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.05821,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.15307,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.043921,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020297,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.017191,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.060667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006743,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.215893,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.051764,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 468942.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 447791.35,
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        "fair_value": 262.708199,
        "relative_strength": 2.815824,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 344.44,
        "volume": 342659,
        "typical_volume": 421871.45,
        "trend": 334.247741,
        "fair_value": 263.628857,
        "relative_strength": 0.034575,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.560496,
        "energy": 25.825396,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 356.83,
        "volume": 583172,
        "typical_volume": 424579.95,
        "trend": 335.68243,
        "fair_value": 264.625715,
        "relative_strength": 0.08261,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.890772,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}