{ "ticker": { "uuid": "07fcfe52-65fc-4a0f-888a-71d6520ae04d", "symbol": "GAUZ", "name": "Gauzy Ltd. Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.824, "architecture_energy": 45.596, "architecture_maturity": 90.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.151, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.64, "rotation_up": 14.99, "upward_expansion": 6.45, "deceleration": 46.18, "rotation_down": 63.37, "downward_expansion": 82.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.355247, 0.407122, 0.506836, 0.557903 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.4339, "trend_reference": 0.638013, "distance_from_trend": -0.31992, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.160574, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.929568, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -82.918159, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.509163, "excess_performance": -0.696617, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.31992, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.432061, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.929568, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000742, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.829182, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071245, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.509163, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 55.430643, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 238963988, "relative_activity": 18.458306, "balance": 55.430643, "dry_up": 4.656685, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.552362, "annualized_volatility": 1.518198, "from_high_reference": -0.938715, "from_low_reference": 0.884064 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.638013, "fair_value_reference": 6.160574, "structural_low": 0.2303, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.147137, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.229678, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.522754, "worst_return": -0.433258, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.197782, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.28975, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.181102, "worst_return": -0.576667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.5, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.677225, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.5, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"activity_lines": [ 0.333467, 0.416669, 0.522444, 0.572246 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.4339, "volume": 238963988, "typical_volume": 12946149.15, "trend": 0.638013, "fair_value": 6.160574, "relative_strength": -82.918159, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.824123, "energy": 45.595592, "activity_lines": [ 0.355247, 0.407122, 0.506836, 0.557903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }