{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0802cf34-ceb2-4495-9663-4626c3935957",
    "symbol": "ATI",
    "name": "Allegheny Technologies Incorporated",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.317,
    "architecture_energy": 55.392,
    "architecture_maturity": 65.711,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.594,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.65,
        "rotation_up": 57.16,
        "upward_expansion": 75.72,
        "deceleration": 71.65,
        "rotation_down": 19.83,
        "downward_expansion": 7.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        202.782667,
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        186.70981,
        177.238796
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 227.84,
    "trend_reference": 164.153667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.387968,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 82.414295,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.764569,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 53.392352,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.705772,
    "excess_performance": 0.580147,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.387968,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.215677,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.764569,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.509613,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.533924,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.2187,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.705772,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.267117,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10423013,
      "relative_activity": 1.211646,
      "balance": 1.267117,
      "dry_up": 0.957017,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.086691,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.45229,
      "from_high_reference": -0.038569,
      "from_low_reference": 2.235444
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 164.153667,
      "fair_value_reference": 82.414295,
      "structural_low": 133.2,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.027472,
        "positive_rate": 0.59375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.59375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005885,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.35985,
        "worst_return": -0.22428,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023224,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.112101,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.207359,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.108149,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.049372,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "best_return": 1.145558,
        "worst_return": 0.091448,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.13183,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "relative_strength": 36.141483,
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        "direction": 58.584351,
        "energy": 45.641599,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 8691640.05,
        "trend": 158.361,
        "fair_value": 80.309295,
        "relative_strength": 43.742652,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 187.44,
        "volume": 8182050,
        "typical_volume": 8567459.75,
        "trend": 160.635667,
        "fair_value": 81.23109,
        "relative_strength": 33.00435,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.656685,
        "energy": 33.788087,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 227.84,
        "volume": 10423013,
        "typical_volume": 8602355.1,
        "trend": 164.153667,
        "fair_value": 82.414295,
        "relative_strength": 53.392352,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.317001,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}