{ "ticker": { "uuid": "081a863c-0b73-4c6a-82ee-c5a2f2a7862d", "symbol": "5WH", "name": "Rex International Holding Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.152, "architecture_energy": 55.742, "architecture_maturity": 89.736, "architecture_confidence": 92.318, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.09, "rotation_up": 27.89, "upward_expansion": 22.25, "deceleration": 39.42, "rotation_down": 49.35, "downward_expansion": 74.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.069067, 0.068836, 0.073195, 0.08474 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.067, "trend_reference": 0.1029, "distance_from_trend": -0.348882, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.137718, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.513498, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -57.064549, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.534722, "excess_performance": -0.689557, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.348882, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.204791, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.513498, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12416, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.570645, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092562, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.534722, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.106248, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11580600, "relative_activity": 0.128832, "balance": 1.106248, "dry_up": 0.316009, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110218, "annualized_volatility": 1.069099, "from_high_reference": -0.673171, "from_low_reference": 0.34 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1029, "fair_value_reference": 0.137718, "structural_low": 0.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.021569, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.566667, "median_excess_return": -0.0383, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.296551, "worst_return": -0.292684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.088927, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.093844, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.230769, "worst_return": -0.277778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.180524, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.182808, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.78022, "worst_return": -0.462687, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.020672, "energy": 72.5385, "activity_lines": [ 0.0704, 0.0702, 0.07639, 0.089841 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.067, "volume": 24014100, "typical_volume": 101965820.0, "trend": 0.105267, "fair_value": 0.138404, "relative_strength": -57.462184, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.771603, "energy": 58.999623, "activity_lines": [ 0.069733, 0.069436, 0.074533, 0.087209 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.067, "volume": 11580600, "typical_volume": 89889310.0, "trend": 0.1029, "fair_value": 0.137718, "relative_strength": -57.064549, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.151586, "energy": 55.742499, "activity_lines": [ 0.069067, 0.068836, 0.073195, 0.08474 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }