{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08236506-0b8d-4fab-9a52-5174cc882aa9", "symbol": "301178", "name": "Guangdong TianYiMa Information Industry Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.19, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.985, "architecture_energy": 59.413, "architecture_maturity": 6.069, "architecture_confidence": 81.738, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.17, "rotation_up": 8.84, "upward_expansion": 11.73, "deceleration": 38.67, "rotation_down": 69.36, "downward_expansion": 85.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.106667, 35.613534, 37.446907, 37.574323 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 35.82, "trend_reference": 37.739647, "distance_from_trend": -0.050866, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.173343, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.318204, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.901335, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.113026, "excess_performance": -0.120426, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.050866, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010829, "read": "Falling" 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26.950001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.007088, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00274, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.08222, "worst_return": -0.192015, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.012623, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.033631, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.098512, "worst_return": -0.270417, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.186832, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.145115, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.17512, "worst_return": -0.198545, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 38.04, 39.098754, 39.143014, 38.66821 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.049999, "volume": 15719941, "typical_volume": 15024481.9, "trend": 37.804615, "fair_value": 27.034687, "relative_strength": -25.907265, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.369921, "energy": 36.118009, "activity_lines": [ 34.363333, 37.163416, 38.247536, 38.090282 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.700001, "volume": 16385262, "typical_volume": 15133170.85, "trend": 37.712738, "fair_value": 27.091811, "relative_strength": -17.354996, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.706475, "energy": 60.294096, "activity_lines": [ 32.579333, 35.929078, 37.639865, 37.696436 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.82, "volume": 17603443, "typical_volume": 15640321.4, "trend": 37.739647, "fair_value": 27.173343, "relative_strength": -10.901335, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.98476, "energy": 59.413218, "activity_lines": [ 33.106667, 35.613534, 37.446907, 37.574323 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }