{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08270616-cf8c-4bac-8a00-6e9706a6992a", "symbol": "6662", "name": "BioLASCO Taiwan Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 53.153, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.097, "architecture_energy": 35.285, "architecture_maturity": 16.435, "architecture_confidence": 72.369, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.92, "rotation_up": 50.25, "upward_expansion": 77.31, "deceleration": 52.62, "rotation_down": 17.14, "downward_expansion": 8.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.817936, 28.655988, 28.434203, 28.366447 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 28.5, "trend_reference": 28.34574, "distance_from_trend": 0.005442, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.296918, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.05931, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.361693, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.006428, "excess_performance": -0.434944, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005442, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011438, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.05931, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011225, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.313617, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06272, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.006428, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.849952, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21000, "relative_activity": 0.516187, "balance": 0.849952, "dry_up": 1.287388, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053141, "annualized_volatility": 0.185769, "from_high_reference": -0.129221, "from_low_reference": 0.072924 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.34574, "fair_value_reference": 30.296918, "structural_low": 26.562914, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.001518, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.010265, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.066385, "worst_return": -0.021024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.009313, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.101461, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.064516, "worst_return": -0.057522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.007901, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.064912, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.048387, "worst_return": -0.036521, 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"Developing", "return": -0.008141, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0216, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.027778, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.005831, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.040229, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward 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"2026-07-24", "close": 29.219206, "volume": 32021, "typical_volume": 41118.2, "trend": 28.378047, "fair_value": 30.269931, "relative_strength": -29.110242, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.224569, "energy": 15.6411, "activity_lines": [ 28.618378, 28.392996, 28.268724, 28.277467 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.598677, "volume": 35058, "typical_volume": 39918.6, "trend": 28.385953, "fair_value": 30.285517, "relative_strength": -26.36096, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.638045, "energy": 34.639966, "activity_lines": [ 29.010498, 28.651726, 28.40199, 28.356217 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.4, "volume": 121420, "typical_volume": 41239.4, "trend": 28.355484, "fair_value": 30.290498, "relative_strength": -30.140231, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.453706, "energy": 39.20027, "activity_lines": [ 28.920839, 28.656292, 28.415224, 28.357124 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 28.5, "volume": 21000, "typical_volume": 40682.95, "trend": 28.34574, "fair_value": 30.296918, "relative_strength": -31.361693, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.09677, "energy": 35.285119, "activity_lines": [ 28.817936, 28.655988, 28.434203, 28.366447 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }