{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0827bb3e-5c2d-48b8-8c8d-a51a053b2da4", "symbol": "301159", "name": "Beijing SunwayWorld Science & Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.045, "architecture_energy": 52.487, "architecture_maturity": 68.787, "architecture_confidence": 90.459, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 25.51, "upward_expansion": 8.5, "deceleration": 60.92, "rotation_down": 53.33, "downward_expansion": 81.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.403333, 29.664727, 32.424191, 35.259721 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 32.32, "trend_reference": 38.939, "distance_from_trend": -0.169984, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.358393, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.111072, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.143786, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.332783, "excess_performance": -0.340183, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.169984, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053063, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.111072, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.261754, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.171438, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082854, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.332783, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.657836, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29084496, "relative_activity": 3.055968, "balance": 0.657836, "dry_up": 1.908683, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116265, "annualized_volatility": 0.430983, "from_high_reference": -0.476938, "from_low_reference": 0.317033 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.939, "fair_value_reference": 36.358393, "structural_low": 24.540001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.028483, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": 0.014332, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.362974, "worst_return": -0.230675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.189004, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.036564, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.398905, "worst_return": -0.077281, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.242701, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.064385, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.351766, "worst_return": 0.025281, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 8758373.75, "trend": 39.928667, "fair_value": 36.65438, "relative_strength": -29.598354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.936703, "energy": 87.399376, "activity_lines": [ 30.489333, 32.238364, 35.611, 38.034452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.549999, "volume": 20850209, "typical_volume": 9214155.85, "trend": 39.624, "fair_value": 36.56862, "relative_strength": -28.261785, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.367458, "energy": 84.049388, "activity_lines": [ 29.372666, 31.007818, 34.560572, 37.235828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.93, "volume": 12152100, "typical_volume": 9113322.2, "trend": 39.308334, "fair_value": 36.491188, "relative_strength": -32.112484, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.526348, "energy": 75.709989, "activity_lines": [ 28.026666, 29.752364, 33.451619, 36.352344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.139999, "volume": 10575067, "typical_volume": 8938557.8, "trend": 39.087334, "fair_value": 36.397993, "relative_strength": -21.911562, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.27123, "energy": 63.654307, "activity_lines": [ 28.179333, 29.333636, 32.744667, 35.696323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.32, "volume": 29084496, "typical_volume": 9517277.7, "trend": 38.939, "fair_value": 36.358393, "relative_strength": -17.143786, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.04512, "energy": 52.486677, "activity_lines": [ 29.403333, 29.664727, 32.424191, 35.259721 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }