{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0851112d-439d-4a59-890e-e47303c57c82", "symbol": "AH", "name": "AAPICO Hitech Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.87, "architecture_energy": 93.772, "architecture_maturity": 37.574, "architecture_confidence": 73.394, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.14, "rotation_up": 82.27, "upward_expansion": 95.31, "deceleration": 44.67, "rotation_down": 8.09, "downward_expansion": 21.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.666667, 15.083636, 14.516667, 14.18046 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.1, "trend_reference": 13.764514, "distance_from_trend": 0.169674, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.772246, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040081, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.54536, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.263, "excess_performance": 0.070675, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.169674, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068012, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.040081, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.196668, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.045454, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144631, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.263, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.1882, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3539000, "relative_activity": 2.827344, "balance": 1.1882, "dry_up": 1.907019, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034878, "annualized_volatility": 0.234814, "from_high_reference": -0.041667, "from_low_reference": 0.424923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.764514, "fair_value_reference": 16.772246, "structural_low": 12.4, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.036697, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.033161, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.164063, "worst_return": -0.117647, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.080793, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.074904, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.082645, "worst_return": -0.263889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.074002, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.0573, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.011334, "worst_return": -0.172722, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 13.521924, "fair_value": 16.921667, "relative_strength": -2.490488, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.5891, "energy": 80.787992, "activity_lines": [ 14.82, 14.510909, 14.099524, 13.868734 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.9, "volume": 1312800, "typical_volume": 1105425.0, "trend": 13.646324, "fair_value": 16.84699, "relative_strength": 2.192773, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.132721, "energy": 93.529723, "activity_lines": [ 15.273333, 14.8, 14.304762, 14.022158 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.1, "volume": 3539000, "typical_volume": 1251705.0, "trend": 13.764514, "fair_value": 16.772246, "relative_strength": 4.54536, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.869666, "energy": 93.77226, "activity_lines": [ 15.666667, 15.083636, 14.516667, 14.18046 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }