{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08558edf-89d2-4ec3-8f04-5cabe4d61264", "symbol": "FCM", "name": "First Class Metals PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.086, "architecture_energy": 21.658, "architecture_maturity": 58.126, "architecture_confidence": 92.937, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.0, "rotation_up": 15.17, "upward_expansion": 41.68, "deceleration": 87.37, "rotation_down": 45.75, "downward_expansion": 35.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0236, 0.0275, 0.027834, 0.025433 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.024, "trend_reference": 0.022593, "distance_from_trend": 0.06226, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.030634, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.216553, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.318861, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.333333, "excess_performance": 0.282098, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.06226, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.196892, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.216553, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.295577, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.003189, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147746, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.333333, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.350851, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22545358, "relative_activity": 0.753922, "balance": 1.350851, "dry_up": 0.463257, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.302276, "annualized_volatility": 1.511678, "from_high_reference": -0.466667, "from_low_reference": 1.51046 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.022593, "fair_value_reference": 0.030634, "structural_low": 0.00956, "invalidation": "A renewed 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0.033968, 0.027928, 0.024806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.0275, "volume": 52748246, "typical_volume": 40518142.2, "trend": 0.022218, "fair_value": 0.032557, "relative_strength": 18.124841, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.216191, "energy": 40.793431, "activity_lines": [ 0.033333, 0.033491, 0.02836, 0.02516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.024, "volume": 13064241, "typical_volume": 39943114.6, "trend": 0.022268, "fair_value": 0.032076, "relative_strength": 2.151271, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.73282, "energy": 21.880451, "activity_lines": [ 0.029633, 0.032214, 0.02838, 0.025275 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0235, "volume": 11934067, "typical_volume": 39394784.8, "trend": 0.022385, "fair_value": 0.031595, "relative_strength": -1.097435, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.568264, "energy": 25.90341, "activity_lines": [ 0.0267, 0.030736, 0.028287, 0.025355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.022, "volume": 7869498, "typical_volume": 37135162.5, "trend": 0.02241, "fair_value": 0.031105, "relative_strength": -8.36789, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.23153, "energy": 25.291787, "activity_lines": [ 0.024267, 0.028882, 0.027989, 0.02533 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.024, "volume": 22545358, "typical_volume": 29904103.4, "trend": 0.022593, "fair_value": 0.030634, "relative_strength": -0.318861, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.086157, "energy": 21.657808, "activity_lines": [ 0.0236, 0.0275, 0.027834, 0.025433 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }