{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08683515-f927-42ae-ae86-71a93cd2d131", "symbol": "688418", "name": "Genew Technologies Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.056, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.604, "architecture_energy": 71.08, "architecture_maturity": 16.721, "architecture_confidence": 79.463, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.8, "rotation_up": 13.59, "upward_expansion": 20.37, "deceleration": 31.53, "rotation_down": 70.79, "downward_expansion": 86.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.425334, 39.446, 42.855476, 43.397914 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 37.740002, "trend_reference": 44.876, "distance_from_trend": -0.159016, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.26391, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.335272, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.681528, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.144606, "excess_performance": -0.101402, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.159016, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056801, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.335272, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.728296, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036815, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.444347, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.144606, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.359897, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23059626, "relative_activity": 0.827168, "balance": 0.359897, "dry_up": 0.891286, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.186825, "annualized_volatility": 0.81578, "from_high_reference": -0.450255, "from_low_reference": 0.410314 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.876, "fair_value_reference": 28.26391, "structural_low": 27.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.045033, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.011897, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.469487, "worst_return": -0.249545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.179851, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.136557, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.162914, "worst_return": -0.309969, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.035105, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.008323, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.154305, "worst_return": -0.111371, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.830002, "volume": 26649468, "typical_volume": 29616425.9, "trend": 45.778333, "fair_value": 27.955577, "relative_strength": -11.738411, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.024883, "energy": 29.62415, "activity_lines": [ 43.479333, 44.977091, 45.741286, 45.523806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.540001, "volume": 27937615, "typical_volume": 28766198.75, "trend": 45.485667, "fair_value": 28.043718, "relative_strength": -8.612452, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.855328, "energy": 56.15388, "activity_lines": [ 40.001334, 42.845091, 44.751, 44.798753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.1, "volume": 21741661, "typical_volume": 28051916.3, "trend": 45.067333, "fair_value": 28.128654, "relative_strength": -18.207323, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.878583, "energy": 74.801735, "activity_lines": [ 36.150001, 40.371091, 43.465286, 43.870645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.740002, "volume": 23059626, "typical_volume": 27877809.05, "trend": 44.876, "fair_value": 28.26391, "relative_strength": -3.681528, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.603862, "energy": 71.080168, "activity_lines": [ 35.425334, 39.446, 42.855476, 43.397914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }