{ "ticker": { "uuid": "086ee816-c150-4932-a1b7-61fdc8793cde", "symbol": "OPK", "name": "Opko Health Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 88.495, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 27.231, "architecture_energy": 20.987, "architecture_maturity": 63.756, "architecture_confidence": 77.769, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.97, "rotation_up": 25.18, "upward_expansion": 55.21, "deceleration": 88.02, "rotation_down": 39.13, "downward_expansion": 21.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.301333, 1.346, 1.329667, 1.295462 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1.37, "trend_reference": 1.265333, "distance_from_trend": 0.082719, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.376179, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.00449, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.181595, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.104839, "excess_performance": -0.082615, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082719, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01416, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.00449, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.187932, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.091816, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185998, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.104839, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.684695, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16270803, "relative_activity": 1.071494, "balance": 1.684695, "dry_up": 1.645299, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130539, "annualized_volatility": 0.466381, "from_high_reference": -0.208092, "from_low_reference": 0.402395 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.265333, "fair_value_reference": 1.376179, "structural_low": 0.9769, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.095928, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.054664, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.154964, "worst_return": -0.257075, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.218391, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.130401, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.040541, "worst_return": -0.262673, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.206897, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.257341, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.304147, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.104693, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.06015, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.050725, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.025641, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.106667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.007812, 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"fair_value": 1.387397, "relative_strength": -18.847559, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.904901, "energy": 19.304163, "activity_lines": [ 1.359333, 1.387636, 1.32, 1.287978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.22, "volume": 14000609, "typical_volume": 12904249.3, "trend": 1.263333, "fair_value": 1.383295, "relative_strength": -14.951932, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.162507, "energy": 18.045457, "activity_lines": [ 1.298667, 1.360364, 1.315619, 1.285032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.32, "volume": 54199296, "typical_volume": 15085733.7, "trend": 1.265, "fair_value": 1.379, "relative_strength": -8.28365, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.987264, "energy": 22.506636, "activity_lines": [ 1.284667, 1.349091, 1.320571, 1.288688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.37, "volume": 16270803, "typical_volume": 15185154.2, "trend": 1.265333, "fair_value": 1.376179, "relative_strength": -9.181595, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.231288, "energy": 20.987333, "activity_lines": [ 1.301333, 1.346, 1.329667, 1.295462 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }