{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0878b42d-609f-4d57-835d-2e846f60c905", "symbol": "CCIN", "name": "Crown Castle Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.858, "architecture_energy": 58.49, "architecture_maturity": 11.314, "architecture_confidence": 84.177, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.12, "rotation_up": 11.61, "upward_expansion": 11.37, "deceleration": 40.37, "rotation_down": 69.15, "downward_expansion": 87.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 66.933333, 68.577926, 71.333596, 72.006635 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 66.0, "trend_reference": 72.641188, "distance_from_trend": -0.091425, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 81.74518, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.192613, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.633735, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.00868, "excess_performance": -0.182927, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.091425, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016323, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.192613, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114969, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.286337, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108144, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.00868, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.986911, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.986911, "dry_up": 3.643973, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079253, "annualized_volatility": 0.33414, "from_high_reference": -0.235056, "from_low_reference": 0.073171 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.641188, "fair_value_reference": 81.74518, "structural_low": 61.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.021661, "positive_rate": 0.37037, "directional_follow_through": 0.62963, "median_excess_return": -0.020565, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 0.155811, "worst_return": -0.122183, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.009678, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.060447, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.237555, "worst_return": -0.182769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.011847, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.147557, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.164672, "worst_return": -0.283089, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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{ "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.127169, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.032021, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.038342, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.078962, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.002232, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Established", 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[ 70.129167, 73.007153, 73.605572, 73.524242 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 70.0, "volume": 271, "typical_volume": 31.3, "trend": 73.264505, "fair_value": 82.046836, "relative_strength": -23.798493, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.82977, "energy": 45.874869, "activity_lines": [ 69.533333, 72.202586, 73.248973, 73.307078 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 67.0, "volume": 382, "typical_volume": 44.8, "trend": 73.088925, "fair_value": 81.93169, "relative_strength": -27.1725, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.745675, "energy": 66.715595, "activity_lines": [ 68.533333, 70.970213, 72.627035, 72.902916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 44.8, "trend": 72.803428, "fair_value": 81.83773, "relative_strength": -27.328098, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.61768, "energy": 66.728509, "activity_lines": [ 67.533333, 69.665426, 71.957339, 72.445566 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 66.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 44.8, "trend": 72.641188, "fair_value": 81.74518, "relative_strength": -28.633735, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.857819, "energy": 58.490067, "activity_lines": [ 66.933333, 68.577926, 71.333596, 72.006635 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }