{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08a161f9-98d8-4c6d-9896-d03ee812906f", "symbol": "PIII", "name": "P3 Health Partners Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.524, "architecture_energy": 25.009, "architecture_maturity": 61.354, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.72, "rotation_up": 33.55, "upward_expansion": 57.18, "deceleration": 87.69, "rotation_down": 25.33, "downward_expansion": 18.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.501333, 10.657273, 9.941359, 8.338203 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.58, "trend_reference": 6.327597, "distance_from_trend": 0.830079, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.998925, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.517478, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 56.937266, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 4.386047, "excess_performance": 4.198593, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.830079, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.441769, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.517478, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.384371, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.569373, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.041519, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 4.386047, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 35.415523, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 118450, "relative_activity": 0.029837, "balance": 35.415523, "dry_up": 0.025765, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.310796, "annualized_volatility": 1.76511, "from_high_reference": -0.314387, "from_low_reference": 6.618421 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.327597, "fair_value_reference": 23.998925, "structural_low": 1.92, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.026316, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.035564, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.065657, "worst_return": -0.238462, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.388462, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.353484, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.388462, "worst_return": -0.388462, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.496154, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.580875, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.496154, "worst_return": -0.496154, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.222738, "energy": 36.849689, "activity_lines": [ 10.809333, 11.123416, 8.732319, 7.118206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.82, "volume": 78844, "typical_volume": 4075342.8, "trend": 5.637263, "fair_value": 25.840079, "relative_strength": 54.357141, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.403208, "energy": 33.380058, "activity_lines": [ 10.718667, 11.140545, 9.125233, 7.466985 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.62, "volume": 85747, "typical_volume": 4075711.4, "trend": 5.83893, "fair_value": 25.207835, "relative_strength": 39.152202, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.479759, "energy": 26.019233, "activity_lines": [ 10.322, 10.807273, 9.362434, 7.723936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.83, "volume": 126102, "typical_volume": 3980984.0, "trend": 6.04993, "fair_value": 24.55931, "relative_strength": 41.152384, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.109946, "energy": 20.241524, "activity_lines": [ 10.070667, 10.542545, 9.584444, 7.981424 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.58, "volume": 118450, "typical_volume": 3969937.6, "trend": 6.327597, "fair_value": 23.998925, "relative_strength": 56.937266, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.523636, "energy": 25.00892, "activity_lines": [ 10.501333, 10.657273, 9.941359, 8.338203 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }