{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08a7b0a2-ba97-4c15-bcc4-6d006cd70d9d", "symbol": "KUX", "name": "OIO Holdings Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -18.336, "architecture_energy": 21.141, "architecture_maturity": 55.15, "architecture_confidence": 91.177, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.65, "rotation_up": 27.37, "upward_expansion": 14.21, "deceleration": 49.68, "rotation_down": 40.08, "downward_expansion": 70.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.031933, 0.031709, 0.034367, 0.038062 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.05, "trend_reference": 0.0425, "distance_from_trend": 0.176471, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.055103, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.092601, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.927363, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.154835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.176471, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117647, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.092601, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138589, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.149274, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093051, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.578097, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12100, "relative_activity": 0.702671, "balance": 0.578097, "dry_up": 0.765099, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.195385, "annualized_volatility": 1.92673, "from_high_reference": -0.431818, "from_low_reference": 1.380952 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0425, "fair_value_reference": 0.055103, "structural_low": 0.021, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.043478, "positive_rate": 0.424242, "directional_follow_through": 0.515152, "median_excess_return": -0.010575, "regime_survival": 0.757576, "best_return": 1.083333, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.108696, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.125852, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.37931, "worst_return": -0.458824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.206897, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.27622, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.4, "worst_return": -0.613043, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.447792, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.470976, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.016667, "worst_return": -0.693103, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.021739, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.055556, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.125, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.222222, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.02381, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.097561, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.06, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.428571, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.064, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 222400.0, "trend": 0.0796, "fair_value": 0.24091, "relative_strength": -27.155211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.978235, "energy": 75.43798, "activity_lines": [ 0.064267, 0.065873, 0.073614, 0.076849 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 0.06, "volume": 47600, "typical_volume": 221680.0, "trend": 0.078633, "fair_value": 0.240045, "relative_strength": -30.506141, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.26764, "energy": 75.816083, "activity_lines": [ 0.0628, 0.064364, 0.0716, 0.075585 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 0.057, "volume": 25000, "typical_volume": 183005.0, "trend": 0.077833, "fair_value": 0.23916, "relative_strength": -33.277876, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.793784, "energy": 75.170984, "activity_lines": [ 0.0606, 0.062491, 0.069352, 0.074189 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 0.056, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 110170.0, "trend": 0.077, "fair_value": 0.238269, "relative_strength": -32.556757, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.627972, "energy": 77.643999, "activity_lines": [ 0.058667, 0.061018, 0.067357, 0.072781 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 0.055, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 80975.0, "trend": 0.0761, "fair_value": 0.237372, "relative_strength": -33.862579, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.548421, "energy": 86.698139, "activity_lines": [ 0.056933, 0.059636, 0.065486, 0.071361 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 0.055, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 61820.0, "trend": 0.075467, "fair_value": 0.236474, "relative_strength": -30.823169, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.896926, "energy": 89.583604, "activity_lines": [ 0.0558, 0.058473, 0.063838, 0.07 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 0.055, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 57445.0, "trend": 0.074833, "fair_value": 0.235577, "relative_strength": -30.326227, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.173929, "energy": 89.930611, "activity_lines": [ 0.055267, 0.057473, 0.062381, 0.06868 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 0.055, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 56195.0, "trend": 0.074267, "fair_value": 0.234679, "relative_strength": -28.301283, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.462709, "energy": 89.266776, "activity_lines": [ 0.055067, 0.056636, 0.06109, 0.0674 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 0.055, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 54895.0, "trend": 0.0737, "fair_value": 0.233782, "relative_strength": -27.638571, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.704493, "energy": 88.788952, "activity_lines": [ 0.055, 0.056, 0.060014, 0.066157 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 0.051, "volume": 70000, "typical_volume": 54490.0, "trend": 0.073067, "fair_value": 0.232859, "relative_strength": -29.9368, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.14448, "energy": 64.803889, "activity_lines": [ 0.053667, 0.0548, 0.058705, 0.064692 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 0.07, "volume": 401400, "typical_volume": 72360.0, "trend": 0.073067, "fair_value": 0.232058, "relative_strength": -3.058083, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.6176, "energy": 20.578746, "activity_lines": [ 0.058933, 0.057291, 0.059352, 0.064495 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 0.075, "volume": 193200, "typical_volume": 69170.0, "trend": 0.0732, "fair_value": 0.231288, "relative_strength": 2.102928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.697202, "energy": 13.888826, "activity_lines": [ 0.064867, 0.060582, 0.060533, 0.064619 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 0.08, "volume": 643300, "typical_volume": 87110.0, "trend": 0.071533, "fair_value": 0.230551, "relative_strength": 10.455883, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 13.472864, "energy": 27.57331, "activity_lines": [ 0.071133, 0.064509, 0.062167, 0.065058 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 0.07, "volume": 230000, "typical_volume": 94860.0, "trend": 0.070467, "fair_value": 0.22975, "relative_strength": -3.452563, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.210329, "energy": 30.798273, "activity_lines": [ 0.0724, 0.0662, 0.06289, 0.064959 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 0.066, "volume": 241500, "typical_volume": 104535.0, "trend": 0.069267, "fair_value": 0.228923, "relative_strength": -7.718665, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.159847, "energy": 27.135632, "activity_lines": [ 0.071333, 0.066909, 0.063238, 0.064671 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 0.062, "volume": 190200, "typical_volume": 111545.0, "trend": 0.068167, "fair_value": 0.228071, "relative_strength": -13.414876, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.9761, "energy": 14.087234, "activity_lines": [ 0.067933, 0.066691, 0.06321, 0.064202 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 0.067, "volume": 195600, "typical_volume": 121325.0, "trend": 0.0674, "fair_value": 0.22725, "relative_strength": -6.686453, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.516617, "energy": 10.828742, "activity_lines": [ 0.066733, 0.067255, 0.063667, 0.064127 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 0.065, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 117390.0, "trend": 0.066233, "fair_value": 0.226417, "relative_strength": -9.233632, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.29927, "energy": 8.62337, "activity_lines": [ 0.0654, 0.067236, 0.063919, 0.063972 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 0.065, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 114390.0, "trend": 0.065533, "fair_value": 0.225583, "relative_strength": -9.396476, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.150785, "energy": 6.03079, "activity_lines": [ 0.065067, 0.067036, 0.064176, 0.063892 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 0.08, "volume": 3100, "typical_volume": 114545.0, "trend": 0.065467, "fair_value": 0.224846, "relative_strength": 7.897077, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.65332, "energy": 18.584132, "activity_lines": [ 0.070067, 0.069382, 0.065857, 0.064826 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 0.075, "volume": 179300, "typical_volume": 123510.0, "trend": 0.065233, "fair_value": 0.224077, "relative_strength": 2.847671, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.851282, "energy": 33.923324, "activity_lines": [ 0.072467, 0.070291, 0.066986, 0.065441 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 0.076, "volume": 158200, "typical_volume": 129040.0, "trend": 0.065433, "fair_value": 0.223314, "relative_strength": 4.257659, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.707589, "energy": 41.178837, "activity_lines": [ 0.074333, 0.071291, 0.068157, 0.066135 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 0.063, "volume": 15000, "typical_volume": 128540.0, "trend": 0.064567, "fair_value": 0.222468, "relative_strength": -11.973383, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.785165, "energy": 30.641455, "activity_lines": [ 0.071267, 0.069909, 0.068014, 0.065978 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 0.061, "volume": 8000, "typical_volume": 128440.0, "trend": 0.064233, "fair_value": 0.221609, "relative_strength": -14.462216, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.238687, "energy": 9.700069, "activity_lines": [ 0.067667, 0.068473, 0.067652, 0.065748 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 0.056, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 127940.0, "trend": 0.063867, "fair_value": 0.220718, "relative_strength": -21.550735, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.511776, "energy": 21.766561, "activity_lines": [ 0.062667, 0.066291, 0.06679, 0.065217 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 0.06, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 128440.0, "trend": 0.063733, "fair_value": 0.219853, "relative_strength": -14.471402, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.738434, "energy": 34.157953, "activity_lines": [ 0.0606, 0.065018, 0.066305, 0.064968 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 0.082, "volume": 935600, "typical_volume": 175220.0, "trend": 0.064333, "fair_value": 0.219128, "relative_strength": 13.775046, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.433928, "energy": 20.135179, "activity_lines": [ 0.066867, 0.067782, 0.06789, 0.066146 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 0.082, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 175220.0, "trend": 0.064867, "fair_value": 0.218404, "relative_strength": 14.781982, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.82704, "energy": 48.899423, "activity_lines": [ 0.072733, 0.070273, 0.069348, 0.067286 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 0.065, "volume": 47800, "typical_volume": 177610.0, "trend": 0.0649, "fair_value": 0.217571, "relative_strength": -7.416143, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.588484, "energy": 30.709395, "activity_lines": [ 0.071667, 0.069364, 0.069057, 0.067295 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 0.084, "volume": 427800, "typical_volume": 195500.0, "trend": 0.065567, "fair_value": 0.216859, "relative_strength": 18.804683, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.863418, "energy": 52.561738, "activity_lines": [ 0.076667, 0.071909, 0.070529, 0.068527 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 0.07, "volume": 183900, "typical_volume": 184625.0, "trend": 0.065767, "fair_value": 0.216058, "relative_strength": -1.756479, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.855779, "energy": 44.578202, "activity_lines": [ 0.075133, 0.071836, 0.07051, 0.068813 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 0.07, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 174965.0, "trend": 0.0661, "fair_value": 0.215256, "relative_strength": -3.127625, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.949586, "energy": 21.208877, "activity_lines": [ 0.072933, 0.071855, 0.07049, 0.069086 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 0.067, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 143800.0, "trend": 0.066433, "fair_value": 0.214436, "relative_strength": -7.397646, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.634627, "energy": 13.930054, "activity_lines": [ 0.070533, 0.071436, 0.07021, 0.069144 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 0.067, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 132300.0, "trend": 0.0668, "fair_value": 0.213615, "relative_strength": -7.177047, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.887747, "energy": 14.615968, "activity_lines": [ 0.069133, 0.070945, 0.06999, 0.069181 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 0.067, "volume": 35400, "typical_volume": 121995.0, "trend": 0.0672, "fair_value": 0.212795, "relative_strength": -5.638473, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.606747, "energy": 17.148498, "activity_lines": [ 0.0676, 0.070345, 0.069786, 0.069194 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 0.06, "volume": 220000, "typical_volume": 123485.0, "trend": 0.067367, "fair_value": 0.211929, "relative_strength": -13.532112, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.605962, "energy": 34.234958, "activity_lines": [ 0.064867, 0.068273, 0.06891, 0.068729 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 0.07, "volume": 47200, "typical_volume": 116065.0, "trend": 0.067867, "fair_value": 0.211128, "relative_strength": -1.452423, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.814072, "energy": 18.428548, "activity_lines": [ 0.066133, 0.068018, 0.068995, 0.068899 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 0.07, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 115565.0, "trend": 0.068367, "fair_value": 0.210327, "relative_strength": -1.149542, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.390423, "energy": 8.920963, "activity_lines": [ 0.0674, 0.067982, 0.069067, 0.069037 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 0.065, "volume": 26100, "typical_volume": 116870.0, "trend": 0.0687, "fair_value": 0.209494, "relative_strength": -7.461452, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.767482, "energy": 14.945623, "activity_lines": [ 0.0668, 0.067255, 0.068638, 0.068819 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 0.06, "volume": 5000, "typical_volume": 116965.0, "trend": 0.069, "fair_value": 0.208628, "relative_strength": -14.152562, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.901977, "energy": 32.258086, "activity_lines": [ 0.064667, 0.065618, 0.067733, 0.068258 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 0.059, "volume": 100000, "typical_volume": 113000.0, "trend": 0.068633, "fair_value": 0.207756, "relative_strength": -14.962154, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.471139, "energy": 53.228495, "activity_lines": [ 0.062667, 0.064236, 0.066829, 0.067613 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 0.06, "volume": 8300, "typical_volume": 105505.0, "trend": 0.068133, "fair_value": 0.207308, "relative_strength": -13.409924, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.039753, "energy": 67.083187, "activity_lines": [ 0.061067, 0.063236, 0.066095, 0.067056 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 0.06, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 104755.0, "trend": 0.067467, "fair_value": 0.206859, "relative_strength": -12.634389, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.108752, "energy": 78.070404, "activity_lines": [ 0.060133, 0.062418, 0.065438, 0.066531 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 0.051, "volume": 30000, "typical_volume": 105855.0, "trend": 0.066833, "fair_value": 0.20666, "relative_strength": -24.568566, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -96.039327, "energy": 97.375162, "activity_lines": [ 0.056867, 0.060091, 0.063938, 0.065469 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 0.051, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 105355.0, "trend": 0.066333, "fair_value": 0.205744, "relative_strength": -23.872195, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.523254, "energy": 95.807962, "activity_lines": [ 0.054533, 0.058055, 0.062486, 0.064447 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 0.045, "volume": 58900, "typical_volume": 107300.0, "trend": 0.065767, "fair_value": 0.203596, "relative_strength": -32.816999, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -95.89209, "energy": 98.16094, "activity_lines": [ 0.0508, 0.055218, 0.060486, 0.063071 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 0.043, "volume": 61300, "typical_volume": 63585.0, "trend": 0.064967, "fair_value": 0.200538, "relative_strength": -36.742513, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -92.208163, "energy": 97.118812, "activity_lines": [ 0.047333, 0.052291, 0.058367, 0.061602 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 0.042, "volume": 9000, "typical_volume": 64035.0, "trend": 0.0642, "fair_value": 0.197891, "relative_strength": -39.299299, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.083323, "energy": 94.981178, "activity_lines": [ 0.044667, 0.049673, 0.056338, 0.06012 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 0.042, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 61645.0, "trend": 0.063433, "fair_value": 0.195692, "relative_strength": -37.972494, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.182779, "energy": 92.664604, "activity_lines": [ 0.0432, 0.047564, 0.0545, 0.058688 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 0.042, "volume": 72000, "typical_volume": 43855.0, "trend": 0.062167, "fair_value": 0.192564, "relative_strength": -37.140161, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.472186, "energy": 90.701449, "activity_lines": [ 0.042333, 0.045873, 0.052771, 0.057305 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 0.042, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 34660.0, "trend": 0.061067, "fair_value": 0.1895, "relative_strength": -35.859322, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.670582, "energy": 89.672237, "activity_lines": [ 0.042067, 0.044509, 0.051243, 0.056004 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 0.043, "volume": 19000, "typical_volume": 35610.0, "trend": 0.059967, "fair_value": 0.185417, "relative_strength": -31.499136, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.620993, "energy": 88.918312, "activity_lines": [ 0.042333, 0.043636, 0.049943, 0.054839 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 0.043, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 34610.0, "trend": 0.0593, "fair_value": 0.181365, "relative_strength": -32.867158, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.279546, "energy": 88.430015, "activity_lines": [ 0.0426, 0.043073, 0.048771, 0.053744 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 0.045, "volume": 97400, "typical_volume": 39480.0, "trend": 0.058767, "fair_value": 0.177263, "relative_strength": -30.083535, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.206675, "energy": 60.640902, "activity_lines": [ 0.043467, 0.043182, 0.047905, 0.052822 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 0.045, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 37710.0, "trend": 0.0584, "fair_value": 0.173128, "relative_strength": -30.880239, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.955776, "energy": 55.61533, "activity_lines": [ 0.044133, 0.0434, 0.047143, 0.051933 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 0.06, "volume": 82800, "typical_volume": 30850.0, "trend": 0.0584, "fair_value": 0.16925, "relative_strength": -8.139881, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.250863, "energy": 24.04979, "activity_lines": [ 0.0496, 0.046455, 0.047914, 0.052037 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 0.049, "volume": 55400, "typical_volume": 31260.0, "trend": 0.0573, "fair_value": 0.16575, "relative_strength": -27.035414, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.525386, "energy": 31.702037, "activity_lines": [ 0.0502, 0.047236, 0.047638, 0.05143 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 0.049, "volume": 23900, "typical_volume": 32455.0, "trend": 0.0562, "fair_value": 0.162955, "relative_strength": -28.018094, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.718166, "energy": 25.335899, "activity_lines": [ 0.0504, 0.047909, 0.047462, 0.050895 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 0.055, "volume": 165500, "typical_volume": 39425.0, "trend": 0.055867, "fair_value": 0.160231, "relative_strength": -17.898637, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 14.697936, "energy": 33.233264, "activity_lines": [ 0.0522, 0.049545, 0.047957, 0.050817 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 0.055, "volume": 50000, "typical_volume": 41675.0, "trend": 0.0549, "fair_value": 0.156705, "relative_strength": -18.09115, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 11.16719, "energy": 27.312494, "activity_lines": [ 0.053333, 0.050945, 0.0485, 0.050761 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 0.055, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 36675.0, "trend": 0.0544, "fair_value": 0.153276, "relative_strength": -17.580097, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 12.485064, "energy": 35.063932, "activity_lines": [ 0.0538, 0.052109, 0.049067, 0.050768 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 0.055, "volume": 70000, "typical_volume": 39760.0, "trend": 0.0539, "fair_value": 0.14991, "relative_strength": -18.96173, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.60841, "energy": 48.007399, "activity_lines": [ 0.0546, 0.053036, 0.049652, 0.050806 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 0.047, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 39790.0, "trend": 0.053233, "fair_value": 0.14691, "relative_strength": -29.132523, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.022136, "energy": 16.31539, "activity_lines": [ 0.052333, 0.052291, 0.0495, 0.050361 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 0.052, "volume": 10100, "typical_volume": 38795.0, "trend": 0.052733, "fair_value": 0.144135, "relative_strength": -19.986184, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.198928, "energy": 10.857169, "activity_lines": [ 0.051867, 0.052382, 0.049886, 0.050282 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 0.051, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 38820.0, "trend": 0.0522, "fair_value": 0.141128, "relative_strength": -24.12206, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.772479, "energy": 10.00029, "activity_lines": [ 0.051267, 0.052164, 0.050171, 0.05017 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 0.046, "volume": 699800, "typical_volume": 70865.0, "trend": 0.051733, "fair_value": 0.138186, "relative_strength": -31.190716, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.563225, "energy": 19.947442, "activity_lines": [ 0.049267, 0.050927, 0.049981, 0.04977 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 0.06, "volume": 32900, "typical_volume": 69445.0, "trend": 0.0514, "fair_value": 0.135397, "relative_strength": -9.764333, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.105532, "energy": 13.638326, "activity_lines": [ 0.052533, 0.052491, 0.051119, 0.050303 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 0.05, "volume": 173500, "typical_volume": 77670.0, "trend": 0.050733, "fair_value": 0.132545, "relative_strength": -24.118181, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.508337, "energy": 5.36028, "activity_lines": [ 0.052133, 0.052036, 0.051224, 0.050213 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 0.08, "volume": 117500, "typical_volume": 83545.0, "trend": 0.051233, "fair_value": 0.129885, "relative_strength": 19.652711, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.801561, "energy": 58.894381, "activity_lines": [ 0.061533, 0.057018, 0.054148, 0.052101 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 0.078, "volume": 26800, "typical_volume": 81285.0, "trend": 0.051833, "fair_value": 0.127212, "relative_strength": 16.275952, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.743537, "energy": 71.779293, "activity_lines": [ 0.0684, 0.061182, 0.0567, 0.053828 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 0.078, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 81285.0, "trend": 0.052467, "fair_value": 0.124667, "relative_strength": 19.0672, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.868283, "energy": 75.29828, "activity_lines": [ 0.073467, 0.064927, 0.059081, 0.055516 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 0.078, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 80335.0, "trend": 0.053067, "fair_value": 0.12225, "relative_strength": 17.951401, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.126121, "energy": 78.734478, "activity_lines": [ 0.0764, 0.068255, 0.06129, 0.057163 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 0.078, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 80335.0, "trend": 0.053667, "fair_value": 0.120346, "relative_strength": 17.405476, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.016969, "energy": 73.845269, "activity_lines": [ 0.078133, 0.071164, 0.063333, 0.058772 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 0.076, "volume": 59200, "typical_volume": 78425.0, "trend": 0.0545, "fair_value": 0.11859, "relative_strength": 14.886145, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.529767, "energy": 60.266871, "activity_lines": [ 0.077333, 0.073145, 0.065019, 0.060213 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 0.076, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 78425.0, "trend": 0.055333, "fair_value": 0.117218, "relative_strength": 14.61351, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.565086, "energy": 45.520395, "activity_lines": [ 0.0768, 0.074691, 0.066557, 0.0616 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 0.076, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 74285.0, "trend": 0.056367, "fair_value": 0.116038, "relative_strength": 14.724875, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.803863, "energy": 41.286372, "activity_lines": [ 0.0764, 0.075782, 0.067948, 0.062933 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 0.05, "volume": 6000, "typical_volume": 71815.0, "trend": 0.0566, "fair_value": 0.114564, "relative_strength": -25.148505, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.044592, "energy": 12.360866, "activity_lines": [ 0.067467, 0.0716, 0.066786, 0.062523 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 0.05, "volume": 293600, "typical_volume": 85300.0, "trend": 0.056867, "fair_value": 0.112513, "relative_strength": -24.741606, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.403182, "energy": 16.459092, "activity_lines": [ 0.0604, 0.0676, 0.065619, 0.062097 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 0.055, "volume": 65300, "typical_volume": 80290.0, "trend": 0.0573, "fair_value": 0.110173, "relative_strength": -16.507721, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.457444, "energy": 30.54974, "activity_lines": [ 0.056867, 0.064509, 0.064924, 0.061976 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 0.055, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 77790.0, "trend": 0.057733, "fair_value": 0.108154, "relative_strength": -16.511248, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.604516, "energy": 41.390442, "activity_lines": [ 0.054733, 0.061873, 0.064229, 0.061828 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 0.046, "volume": 59000, "typical_volume": 80740.0, "trend": 0.057867, "fair_value": 0.106109, "relative_strength": -28.830974, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.284744, "energy": 67.569525, "activity_lines": [ 0.051, 0.058018, 0.062676, 0.061071 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 0.049, "volume": 29400, "typical_volume": 78710.0, "trend": 0.058067, "fair_value": 0.104083, "relative_strength": -23.29304, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.828451, "energy": 71.54966, "activity_lines": [ 0.050267, 0.055291, 0.061452, 0.060499 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 0.045, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 78780.0, "trend": 0.058133, "fair_value": 0.102064, "relative_strength": -27.228063, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.700854, "energy": 81.14588, "activity_lines": [ 0.048267, 0.052364, 0.059876, 0.059656 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 0.045, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 78275.0, "trend": 0.058133, "fair_value": 0.099756, "relative_strength": -28.020292, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -50.079787, "energy": 81.705563, "activity_lines": [ 0.0466, 0.050036, 0.05831, 0.058809 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 0.045, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 78250.0, "trend": 0.058133, "fair_value": 0.097481, "relative_strength": -28.031714, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.280531, "energy": 88.32498, "activity_lines": [ 0.0456, 0.048273, 0.056776, 0.057961 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 0.045, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 43260.0, "trend": 0.057633, "fair_value": 0.095205, "relative_strength": -24.438505, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.558444, "energy": 86.973547, "activity_lines": [ 0.045267, 0.047073, 0.055271, 0.057114 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 0.045, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 41615.0, "trend": 0.0575, "fair_value": 0.09309, "relative_strength": -16.874939, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.154017, "energy": 66.531861, "activity_lines": [ 0.045, 0.046436, 0.053771, 0.056299 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 0.045, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 32940.0, "trend": 0.057367, "fair_value": 0.091071, "relative_strength": -20.847006, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.848621, "energy": 62.798941, "activity_lines": [ 0.045, 0.045891, 0.052343, 0.055492 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 0.045, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 27065.0, "trend": 0.057033, "fair_value": 0.089083, "relative_strength": -22.049428, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.515533, "energy": 60.102429, "activity_lines": [ 0.045, 0.045436, 0.050938, 0.054695 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 0.05, "volume": 30000, "typical_volume": 27225.0, "trend": 0.056867, "fair_value": 0.087288, "relative_strength": -12.954173, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.214797, "energy": 70.900242, "activity_lines": [ 0.046667, 0.046073, 0.050176, 0.054241 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 0.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 27225.0, "trend": 0.0567, "fair_value": 0.08575, "relative_strength": -12.882197, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.554843, "energy": 46.049465, "activity_lines": [ 0.048, 0.0468, 0.049548, 0.053798 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 0.059, "volume": 38600, "typical_volume": 29155.0, "trend": 0.056833, "fair_value": 0.084365, "relative_strength": 2.622479, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.280013, "energy": 33.947845, "activity_lines": [ 0.052, 0.049091, 0.04991, 0.053946 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 0.059, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 29155.0, "trend": 0.057233, "fair_value": 0.083013, "relative_strength": 3.380349, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 28.036593, "energy": 50.339586, "activity_lines": [ 0.055067, 0.0512, 0.050362, 0.054086 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 0.059, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 26195.0, "trend": 0.057467, "fair_value": 0.081564, "relative_strength": 3.440178, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 31.415591, "energy": 67.152277, "activity_lines": [ 0.0572, 0.053055, 0.050905, 0.0542 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 0.059, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 27195.0, "trend": 0.057733, "fair_value": 0.080115, "relative_strength": 2.804254, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.690472, "energy": 79.585822, "activity_lines": [ 0.0584, 0.054655, 0.051529, 0.054299 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 0.059, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 27195.0, "trend": 0.058167, "fair_value": 0.078827, "relative_strength": 3.457452, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.330955, "energy": 75.962686, "activity_lines": [ 0.059, 0.056, 0.052233, 0.054381 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 0.059, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 26895.0, "trend": 0.058133, "fair_value": 0.077538, "relative_strength": 4.235249, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.318694, "energy": 75.932364, "activity_lines": [ 0.059, 0.057091, 0.053019, 0.054434 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 0.059, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12215.0, "trend": 0.058433, "fair_value": 0.076346, "relative_strength": 1.875357, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.919296, "energy": 75.242535, "activity_lines": [ 0.059, 0.057927, 0.053762, 0.05449 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 0.036, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 9450.0, "trend": 0.056967, "fair_value": 0.07491, "relative_strength": -38.277498, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.931708, "energy": 49.100088, "activity_lines": [ 0.051333, 0.054327, 0.052271, 0.053043 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 0.038, "volume": 17300, "typical_volume": 10315.0, "trend": 0.055633, "fair_value": 0.073615, "relative_strength": -35.80053, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.960758, "energy": 61.405567, "activity_lines": [ 0.045867, 0.051255, 0.051062, 0.051819 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 0.038, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7365.0, "trend": 0.0543, "fair_value": 0.072385, "relative_strength": -37.09882, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.880948, "energy": 71.60081, "activity_lines": [ 0.0418, 0.0484, 0.049933, 0.050682 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 0.058, "volume": 195700, "typical_volume": 15680.0, "trend": 0.053633, "fair_value": 0.071186, "relative_strength": -5.775434, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.542081, "energy": 42.334798, "activity_lines": [ 0.0458, 0.0494, 0.050748, 0.05092 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 0.058, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15580.0, "trend": 0.052967, "fair_value": 0.070115, "relative_strength": -3.541098, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.051024, "energy": 18.039178, "activity_lines": [ 0.049867, 0.050418, 0.051519, 0.051202 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 0.056, "volume": 44600, "typical_volume": 17810.0, "trend": 0.0523, "fair_value": 0.069397, "relative_strength": -8.759422, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.731156, "energy": 14.354495, "activity_lines": [ 0.053333, 0.051091, 0.052038, 0.051398 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 0.046, "volume": 14500, "typical_volume": 18535.0, "trend": 0.0513, "fair_value": 0.068603, "relative_strength": -24.692395, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.091033, "energy": 16.322616, "activity_lines": [ 0.052133, 0.05, 0.051552, 0.050991 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 0.046, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18535.0, "trend": 0.0503, "fair_value": 0.06784, "relative_strength": -24.843741, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.526489, "energy": 6.315381, "activity_lines": [ 0.0504, 0.049145, 0.051062, 0.050649 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 0.055, "volume": 30000, "typical_volume": 20035.0, "trend": 0.050467, "fair_value": 0.067141, "relative_strength": -10.467721, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.345032, "energy": 8.957224, "activity_lines": [ 0.051133, 0.050164, 0.051424, 0.050953 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 0.06, "volume": 38000, "typical_volume": 21935.0, "trend": 0.0508, "fair_value": 0.066577, "relative_strength": -2.729061, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.036436, "energy": 19.93085, "activity_lines": [ 0.053733, 0.052164, 0.052214, 0.051568 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 0.063, "volume": 11600, "typical_volume": 22515.0, "trend": 0.051067, "fair_value": 0.066045, "relative_strength": 1.159212, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.640003, "energy": 43.992603, "activity_lines": [ 0.0572, 0.054691, 0.053219, 0.052355 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 0.063, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21015.0, "trend": 0.051333, "fair_value": 0.065513, "relative_strength": 1.981873, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.325355, "energy": 57.764164, "activity_lines": [ 0.0602, 0.056727, 0.054138, 0.053125 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 0.063, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21015.0, "trend": 0.0519, "fair_value": 0.065288, "relative_strength": 2.945932, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.234779, "energy": 62.496932, "activity_lines": [ 0.062067, 0.058309, 0.054995, 0.053877 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 0.063, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19085.0, "trend": 0.052367, "fair_value": 0.064955, "relative_strength": -0.320462, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.011134, "energy": 66.490076, "activity_lines": [ 0.0628, 0.059436, 0.05579, 0.054594 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 0.064, "volume": 3900, "typical_volume": 19280.0, "trend": 0.053, "fair_value": 0.064718, "relative_strength": 1.04275, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.297185, "energy": 60.933918, "activity_lines": [ 0.063333, 0.060655, 0.056662, 0.055344 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 0.08, "volume": 386900, "typical_volume": 38625.0, "trend": 0.054167, "fair_value": 0.064718, "relative_strength": 28.58388, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.332922, "energy": 69.105832, "activity_lines": [ 0.068933, 0.064673, 0.059033, 0.057086 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 0.08, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 37625.0, "trend": 0.055333, "fair_value": 0.064705, "relative_strength": 25.033251, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.615585, "energy": 82.464149, "activity_lines": [ 0.0734, 0.068255, 0.061305, 0.058753 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 0.088, "volume": 15500, "typical_volume": 38400.0, "trend": 0.056767, "fair_value": 0.064564, "relative_strength": 36.386659, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.757863, "energy": 89.271217, "activity_lines": [ 0.0794, 0.072673, 0.064238, 0.06086 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 0.049, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 38500.0, "trend": 0.0569, "fair_value": 0.064288, "relative_strength": -24.856626, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.838678, "energy": 40.6628, "activity_lines": [ 0.070733, 0.069236, 0.063319, 0.060359 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 0.042, "volume": 5000, "typical_volume": 38750.0, "trend": 0.0568, "fair_value": 0.063968, "relative_strength": -36.096236, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.486165, "energy": 9.043841, "activity_lines": [ 0.060667, 0.064636, 0.061781, 0.059398 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 0.041, "volume": 47100, "typical_volume": 40605.0, "trend": 0.056667, "fair_value": 0.063686, "relative_strength": -35.961028, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.875956, "energy": 37.607672, "activity_lines": [ 0.051733, 0.060182, 0.060229, 0.058378 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 0.041, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 39740.0, "trend": 0.056367, "fair_value": 0.063596, "relative_strength": -36.368993, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.229396, "energy": 48.328438, "activity_lines": [ 0.0454, 0.056127, 0.058652, 0.057368 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 0.041, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 39740.0, "trend": 0.056067, "fair_value": 0.063314, "relative_strength": -35.424363, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.985797, "energy": 68.185324, "activity_lines": [ 0.041667, 0.052473, 0.057062, 0.056376 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 0.041, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 29955.0, "trend": 0.055467, "fair_value": 0.063032, "relative_strength": -35.174051, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.160625, "energy": 78.660977, "activity_lines": [ 0.041067, 0.049218, 0.055457, 0.055404 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 0.041, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 29955.0, "trend": 0.054867, "fair_value": 0.062718, "relative_strength": -33.830593, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.776209, "energy": 76.932819, "activity_lines": [ 0.041, 0.046364, 0.053933, 0.054471 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 0.071, "volume": 90100, "typical_volume": 32230.0, "trend": 0.055267, "fair_value": 0.062699, "relative_strength": 13.811873, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.705861, "energy": 13.051358, "activity_lines": [ 0.051, 0.049382, 0.055348, 0.055512 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 0.071, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 31505.0, "trend": 0.055667, "fair_value": 0.062679, "relative_strength": 14.183351, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.986956, "energy": 27.885272, "activity_lines": [ 0.059, 0.052564, 0.05669, 0.056527 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 0.045, "volume": 65100, "typical_volume": 34760.0, "trend": 0.0552, "fair_value": 0.062397, "relative_strength": -27.889673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.26127, "energy": 18.672015, "activity_lines": [ 0.056333, 0.051182, 0.055438, 0.055839 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 0.05, "volume": 40100, "typical_volume": 35265.0, "trend": 0.0549, "fair_value": 0.062147, "relative_strength": -20.483212, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.437088, "energy": 18.414202, "activity_lines": [ 0.055067, 0.051491, 0.054667, 0.055503 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 0.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 33365.0, "trend": 0.0546, "fair_value": 0.061897, "relative_strength": -20.014447, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.393465, "energy": 8.211079, "activity_lines": [ 0.0532, 0.051782, 0.053919, 0.055187 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 0.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 32785.0, "trend": 0.055067, "fair_value": 0.061699, "relative_strength": -19.903168, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.915183, "energy": 32.622787, "activity_lines": [ 0.050733, 0.051927, 0.053219, 0.05489 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 0.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 32785.0, "trend": 0.055467, "fair_value": 0.0615, "relative_strength": -20.038235, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.070812, "energy": 50.499455, "activity_lines": [ 0.049667, 0.051909, 0.052581, 0.054563 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 0.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 32785.0, "trend": 0.055867, "fair_value": 0.061295, "relative_strength": -19.597619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.458707, "energy": 49.446733, "activity_lines": [ 0.05, 0.051727, 0.052005, 0.054211 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 0.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 32785.0, "trend": 0.0556, "fair_value": 0.061141, "relative_strength": -20.386729, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.325415, "energy": 48.61724, "activity_lines": [ 0.05, 0.051382, 0.05149, 0.053832 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 0.053, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 32620.0, "trend": 0.055433, "fair_value": 0.061006, "relative_strength": -15.073047, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.927171, "energy": 19.571035, "activity_lines": [ 0.051, 0.051418, 0.051324, 0.053665 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 0.053, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 13275.0, "trend": 0.055333, "fair_value": 0.060885, "relative_strength": -12.287091, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.133556, "energy": 11.900707, "activity_lines": [ 0.0518, 0.051236, 0.05121, 0.053508 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 0.053, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 13275.0, "trend": 0.055567, "fair_value": 0.060763, "relative_strength": -12.072181, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.85712, "energy": 9.911641, "activity_lines": [ 0.0524, 0.051382, 0.051224, 0.053357 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 0.053, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12500.0, "trend": 0.0558, "fair_value": 0.060654, "relative_strength": -13.866209, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.500647, "energy": 11.047896, "activity_lines": [ 0.0528, 0.051855, 0.051367, 0.053191 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 0.053, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12400.0, "trend": 0.055733, "fair_value": 0.060545, "relative_strength": -12.906439, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.808892, "energy": 12.418247, "activity_lines": [ 0.053, 0.052182, 0.051676, 0.053011 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 0.053, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12150.0, "trend": 0.0555, "fair_value": 0.060429, "relative_strength": -13.63433, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.434309, "energy": 11.721591, "activity_lines": [ 0.053, 0.052455, 0.051967, 0.052834 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 0.053, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9795.0, "trend": 0.055167, "fair_value": 0.059936, "relative_strength": -14.068175, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.425351, "energy": 19.270003, "activity_lines": [ 0.053, 0.052673, 0.052205, 0.052673 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 0.035, "volume": 24100, "typical_volume": 11000.0, "trend": 0.054233, "fair_value": 0.059506, "relative_strength": -42.896888, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.892303, "energy": 84.848642, "activity_lines": [ 0.047, 0.049564, 0.050671, 0.051372 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 0.045, "volume": 117300, "typical_volume": 16865.0, "trend": 0.053633, "fair_value": 0.059141, "relative_strength": -25.153758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.399298, "energy": 55.412465, "activity_lines": [ 0.045533, 0.048545, 0.050119, 0.050776 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 0.045, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16865.0, "trend": 0.053033, "fair_value": 0.058821, "relative_strength": -24.542148, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.239673, "energy": 60.107741, "activity_lines": [ 0.0446, 0.047618, 0.049548, 0.050219 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 0.045, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16865.0, "trend": 0.0524, "fair_value": 0.058532, "relative_strength": -24.232446, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.060368, "energy": 58.63107, "activity_lines": [ 0.0442, 0.046782, 0.048957, 0.049701 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 0.045, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12360.0, "trend": 0.051233, "fair_value": 0.058179, "relative_strength": -24.516868, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.131091, "energy": 35.454248, "activity_lines": [ 0.044333, 0.046091, 0.048348, 0.049224 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 0.045, "volume": 95100, "typical_volume": 17115.0, "trend": 0.050067, "fair_value": 0.057917, "relative_strength": -24.931241, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.572245, "energy": 26.822954, "activity_lines": [ 0.045, 0.045545, 0.047862, 0.048822 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 0.031, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 14860.0, "trend": 0.048167, "fair_value": 0.05759, "relative_strength": -47.202818, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.397545, "energy": 47.824784, "activity_lines": [ 0.040333, 0.0426, 0.046167, 0.047591 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 0.03, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12855.0, "trend": 0.047533, "fair_value": 0.057256, "relative_strength": -48.255197, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.792065, "energy": 66.392375, "activity_lines": [ 0.036267, 0.039873, 0.044443, 0.046419 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 0.03, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12855.0, "trend": 0.047133, "fair_value": 0.057, "relative_strength": -47.200308, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.149482, "energy": 74.419604, "activity_lines": [ 0.0332, 0.037564, 0.042814, 0.045288 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.03, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12855.0, "trend": 0.046767, "fair_value": 0.056622, "relative_strength": -48.065585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.065528, "energy": 77.629032, "activity_lines": [ 0.031133, 0.035673, 0.041281, 0.044183 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.03, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12855.0, "trend": 0.0464, "fair_value": 0.056359, "relative_strength": -47.225922, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.614203, "energy": 73.325442, "activity_lines": [ 0.030067, 0.0342, 0.039843, 0.043101 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.05, "volume": 20100, "typical_volume": 13860.0, "trend": 0.0467, "fair_value": 0.05625, "relative_strength": -13.011015, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.639276, "energy": 23.155842, "activity_lines": [ 0.036667, 0.036455, 0.040405, 0.043333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.024, "volume": 15100, "typical_volume": 14615.0, "trend": 0.046133, "fair_value": 0.055994, "relative_strength": -59.615265, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.938798, "energy": 36.789376, "activity_lines": [ 0.033333, 0.033891, 0.03849, 0.041869 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.024, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 15585.0, "trend": 0.045567, "fair_value": 0.055737, "relative_strength": -59.572197, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.163092, "energy": 40.235515, "activity_lines": [ 0.0304, 0.031709, 0.0367, 0.040441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.023, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 16585.0, "trend": 0.043967, "fair_value": 0.055462, "relative_strength": -61.145264, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.016402, "energy": 57.550547, "activity_lines": [ 0.027533, 0.029727, 0.034952, 0.038985 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.022, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 16615.0, "trend": 0.042333, "fair_value": 0.055192, "relative_strength": -62.413695, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.799934, "energy": 82.89707, "activity_lines": [ 0.0248, 0.027964, 0.033252, 0.037568 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.05, "volume": 12100, "typical_volume": 17220.0, "trend": 0.0425, "fair_value": 0.055103, "relative_strength": -14.927363, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.335789, "energy": 21.141178, "activity_lines": [ 0.031933, 0.031709, 0.034367, 0.038062 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }