{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08ca490b-5e50-4fb7-a099-095e33db2090", "symbol": "LUMI", "name": "Bank Leumi le-Israel B.M.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-09-04", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 77.795, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 56.57, "architecture_energy": 74.378, "architecture_maturity": 13.219, "architecture_confidence": 73.579, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.2, "rotation_up": 80.2, "upward_expansion": 68.08, "deceleration": 18.08, "rotation_down": 16.33, "downward_expansion": 24.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 769711.448567, 751466.23224, 727130.495538, 724906.837219 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 791600.0, "trend_reference": 726083.513643, "distance_from_trend": 0.090233, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 478765.459561, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.653419, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.216639, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0453, "excess_performance": 0.066784, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.090233, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004878, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.653419, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121418, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.032166, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185922, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0453, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.958078, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15650346, "relative_activity": 0.950143, "balance": 2.958078, "dry_up": 0.797585, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037083, "annualized_volatility": 0.266082, "from_high_reference": -0.00252, "from_low_reference": 0.383816 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 726083.513643, "fair_value_reference": 478765.459561, "structural_low": 648900.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.017808, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.007657, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.033605, "worst_return": -0.078137, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.102293, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.002582, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.104, "worst_return": -0.136727, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.05237, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.025953, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.258061, "worst_return": -0.177851, 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"2026-08-21", "close": 755300.0, "volume": 11284309, "typical_volume": 16314107.8, "trend": 723466.02655, "fair_value": 472102.062204, "relative_strength": 0.289847, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.34123, "energy": 54.241241, "activity_lines": [ 748123.356113, 728850.988985, 715877.896294, 717989.514342 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-28", "close": 763600.0, "volume": 10027527, "typical_volume": 16313357.25, "trend": 724515.468847, "fair_value": 475318.762564, "relative_strength": 1.585018, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.592676, "energy": 62.12419, "activity_lines": [ 755909.798173, 738606.792431, 720216.080713, 720578.802951 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-04", "close": 791600.0, "volume": 15650346, "typical_volume": 16471563.1, "trend": 726083.513643, "fair_value": 478765.459561, "relative_strength": 3.216639, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 56.570402, "energy": 74.378102, "activity_lines": [ 769711.448567, 751466.23224, 727130.495538, 724906.837219 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }