{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08d095c6-e35a-4568-996e-268abc4a63d9", "symbol": "002407", "name": "Do-Fluoride New Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.416, "architecture_energy": 20.183, "architecture_maturity": 39.399, "architecture_confidence": 76.72, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.78, "rotation_up": 21.86, "upward_expansion": 40.77, "deceleration": 82.18, "rotation_down": 44.48, "downward_expansion": 39.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.573334, 36.353091, 36.4516, 35.049087 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 36.540001, "trend_reference": 33.446521, "distance_from_trend": 0.09249, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.264464, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.000606, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 22.436635, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.269002, "excess_performance": 0.261603, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.09249, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051762, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.000606, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07955, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.224366, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056767, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.269002, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.08209, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 955359291, "relative_activity": 1.611228, "balance": 1.08209, "dry_up": 1.39404, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.203857, "annualized_volatility": 0.844001, "from_high_reference": -0.333333, "from_low_reference": 1.98195 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.446521, "fair_value_reference": 18.264464, "structural_low": 24.59697, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.048995, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.020179, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.172264, "worst_return": -0.113655, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.113252, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.012199, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.730801, "worst_return": -0.22115, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.189122, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.076764, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.112143, "worst_return": -0.325367, "sufficient": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.501343, "energy": 63.462996, "activity_lines": [ 42.974665, 40.597625, 37.250831, 35.30882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.24, "volume": 634218869, "typical_volume": 509955409.85, "trend": 33.47428, "fair_value": 17.98943, "relative_strength": 13.123268, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.066153, "energy": 29.621863, "activity_lines": [ 39.361332, 39.16716, 36.945759, 35.168885 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.52, "volume": 718860741, "typical_volume": 535232003.7, "trend": 33.529815, "fair_value": 18.067015, "relative_strength": 8.847068, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.375998, "energy": 9.421633, "activity_lines": [ 36.069999, 37.670545, 36.568474, 34.978286 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.440001, "volume": 997881295, "typical_volume": 566415789.3, "trend": 33.352774, "fair_value": 18.148104, "relative_strength": 12.507558, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.413692, "energy": 20.337249, "activity_lines": [ 33.636, 36.445818, 36.26898, 34.843459 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.540001, "volume": 955359291, "typical_volume": 592938610.9, "trend": 33.446521, "fair_value": 18.264464, "relative_strength": 22.436635, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.416168, "energy": 20.18258, "activity_lines": [ 33.573334, 36.353091, 36.4516, 35.049087 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }