{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08d553fa-f8e5-429e-b8cf-011ed46613c0", "symbol": "ROCK", "name": "Rockworth Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 54.351, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.755, "architecture_energy": 27.675, "architecture_maturity": 17.27, "architecture_confidence": 59.757, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.41, "rotation_up": 50.7, "upward_expansion": 75.4, "deceleration": 60.14, "rotation_down": 17.36, "downward_expansion": 2.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.453333, 10.402727, 10.252919, 10.168794 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.4, "trend_reference": 9.949131, "distance_from_trend": 0.045317, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.119075, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.140467, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.947671, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.156393, "excess_performance": -0.035932, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045317, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03557, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.140467, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150959, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.069477, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093812, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.156393, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.307146, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7700, "relative_activity": 0.226471, "balance": 0.307146, "dry_up": 0.344118, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072115, "annualized_volatility": 0.407008, "from_high_reference": -0.088762, "from_low_reference": 0.218233 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.949131, "fair_value_reference": 9.119075, "structural_low": 8.673913, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.003165, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.017036, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.175926, "worst_return": -0.254098, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.075226, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.137343, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.308333, "worst_return": -0.382166, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.056475, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.127389, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.073771, "worst_return": -0.191667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.922921, "energy": 40.411877, "activity_lines": [ 10.41, 10.283636, 10.189048, 10.089289 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.6, "volume": 4600, "typical_volume": 33660.0, "trend": 9.906812, "fair_value": 9.094028, "relative_strength": -6.195951, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.220276, "energy": 30.917555, "activity_lines": [ 10.486667, 10.372727, 10.231615, 10.136975 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.4, "volume": 7700, "typical_volume": 34000.0, "trend": 9.949131, "fair_value": 9.119075, "relative_strength": -6.947671, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.754618, "energy": 27.674623, "activity_lines": [ 10.453333, 10.402727, 10.252919, 10.168794 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }