{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08d90ab4-ec15-4342-96a8-690447afcc14", "symbol": "688057", "name": "Jiangxi JDL Environmental Protection Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.392, "architecture_energy": 48.475, "architecture_maturity": 58.643, "architecture_confidence": 77.492, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.96, "rotation_up": 62.96, "upward_expansion": 78.81, "deceleration": 67.18, "rotation_down": 16.05, "downward_expansion": 5.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.69, 15.90768, 14.804897, 14.214353 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 19.23, "trend_reference": 13.602253, "distance_from_trend": 0.413736, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.932448, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.611572, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 46.724162, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.501171, "excess_performance": 0.544375, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.413736, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074032, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.611572, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.528064, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.467242, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.528028, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.501171, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.567322, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44509367, "relative_activity": 2.247627, "balance": 1.567322, "dry_up": 2.126641, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128119, "annualized_volatility": 0.66403, "from_high_reference": -0.056428, "from_low_reference": 0.680944 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.602253, "fair_value_reference": 11.932448, "structural_low": 11.47, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.021293, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.028122, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.212751, "worst_return": -0.140891, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.070479, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.04598, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.069916, "worst_return": -0.094023, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.059951, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.037743, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.038627, "worst_return": -0.069692, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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13.070253, "fair_value": 11.881753, "relative_strength": 37.27417, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.531101, "energy": 82.870882, "activity_lines": [ 15.57832, 14.672596, 13.806089, 13.476397 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.01, "volume": 35948944, "typical_volume": 14946193.65, "trend": 13.143253, "fair_value": 11.886608, "relative_strength": 13.394953, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.853406, "energy": 63.081828, "activity_lines": [ 15.346468, 14.656094, 13.870244, 13.537026 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.040001, "volume": 52583654, "typical_volume": 16965491.85, "trend": 13.279587, "fair_value": 11.894983, "relative_strength": 27.594721, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.568845, "energy": 67.614626, "activity_lines": [ 15.719886, 14.986865, 14.124969, 13.723913 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.02, "volume": 35411978, "typical_volume": 18012456.6, "trend": 13.368587, "fair_value": 11.898073, "relative_strength": 18.675856, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.980661, "energy": 40.923341, "activity_lines": [ 15.563072, 15.072182, 14.268552, 13.836198 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.23, "volume": 44509367, "typical_volume": 19802822.7, "trend": 13.602253, "fair_value": 11.932448, "relative_strength": 46.724162, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.392381, "energy": 48.475188, "activity_lines": [ 16.69, 15.90768, 14.804897, 14.214353 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }