{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08e8917c-9b1f-4c8e-a026-ae1b84993c7c", "symbol": "688529", "name": "Dalian Haosen Intelligent Manufacturing Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.784, "architecture_energy": 58.158, "architecture_maturity": 24.061, "architecture_confidence": 80.739, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.26, "rotation_up": 12.35, "upward_expansion": 9.94, "deceleration": 45.28, "rotation_down": 68.43, "downward_expansion": 83.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.268, 14.868, 16.383762, 17.076452 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.71, "trend_reference": 17.97, "distance_from_trend": -0.125765, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.318455, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.142395, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.721631, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.168783, "excess_performance": -0.125579, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.125765, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053779, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.142395, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.194297, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.157216, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109311, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.168783, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.788356, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15369712, "relative_activity": 1.976519, "balance": 0.788356, "dry_up": 1.362384, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130049, "annualized_volatility": 0.488022, "from_high_reference": -0.418148, "from_low_reference": 0.360173 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.97, "fair_value_reference": 18.318455, "structural_low": 11.55, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.010057, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": 0.00971, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.279705, "worst_return": -0.186693, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.001161, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.047706, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.585097, "worst_return": -0.281515, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.011791, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.085026, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.273466, "worst_return": -0.398941, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 15.0, "volume": 8458307, "typical_volume": 7342564.15, "trend": 18.504, "fair_value": 18.621728, "relative_strength": -23.406438, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.705539, "energy": 77.031441, "activity_lines": [ 15.984666, 16.990545, 17.81881, 18.191828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.75, "volume": 6042112, "typical_volume": 7253860.35, "trend": 18.371667, "fair_value": 18.543832, "relative_strength": -24.631151, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.326571, "energy": 82.980159, "activity_lines": [ 15.132, 16.232364, 17.396191, 17.885118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.59, "volume": 12228784, "typical_volume": 7328853.05, "trend": 18.201667, "fair_value": 18.462506, "relative_strength": -31.250274, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.140013, "energy": 85.989701, "activity_lines": [ 14.114, 15.375818, 16.895191, 17.512108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.8, "volume": 8735818, "typical_volume": 7299461.95, "trend": 18.061, "fair_value": 18.377621, "relative_strength": -24.371848, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.624818, "energy": 79.149958, "activity_lines": [ 13.816667, 14.886364, 16.536952, 17.228129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.71, "volume": 15369712, "typical_volume": 7776151.55, "trend": 17.97, "fair_value": 18.318455, "relative_strength": -15.721631, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.784157, "energy": 58.157602, "activity_lines": [ 14.268, 14.868, 16.383762, 17.076452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }