{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08eb761c-8c9b-4a9a-972b-7381eae890cf", "symbol": "SCA-B", "name": "Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 55.078, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 17.955, "architecture_energy": 33.502, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 50.362, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.87, "rotation_up": 53.1, "upward_expansion": 37.7, "deceleration": 43.53, "rotation_down": 19.38, "downward_expansion": 48.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 106.950668, 104.273092, 103.234667, 104.614561 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 110.300003, "trend_reference": 107.163815, "distance_from_trend": 0.029265, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 128.852651, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.143983, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.577625, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.031913, "excess_performance": -0.093407, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029265, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046034, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.143983, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079556, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135776, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08655, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.031913, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.791905, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8741811, "relative_activity": 1.236902, "balance": 5.791905, "dry_up": 1.257511, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035351, "annualized_volatility": 0.21339, "from_high_reference": -0.153962, "from_low_reference": 0.142768 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 107.163815, "fair_value_reference": 128.852651, 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"energy": 16.269314, "activity_lines": [ 104.472667, 102.767091, 102.580099, 104.427261 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 110.300003, "volume": 8741811, "typical_volume": 7067505.7, "trend": 107.163815, "fair_value": 128.852651, "relative_strength": -13.577625, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 17.95497, "energy": 33.502333, "activity_lines": [ 106.950668, 104.273092, 103.234667, 104.614561 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }