{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08efad69-cb19-4d91-96ec-5ca4e3b9d43e", "symbol": "ABBV", "name": "AbbVie Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 66.898, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.166, "architecture_energy": 58.26, "architecture_maturity": 26.279, "architecture_confidence": 64.449, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.29, "rotation_up": 63.43, "upward_expansion": 82.97, "deceleration": 62.81, "rotation_down": 18.43, "downward_expansion": 9.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 219.211604, 216.885324, 205.005191, 199.125963 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 211.100006, "trend_reference": 193.317975, "distance_from_trend": 0.091983, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 164.055762, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286758, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.765978, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.122184, "excess_performance": -0.052062, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.091983, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038558, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.286758, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.195768, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.09766, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094669, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.122184, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.265306, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.265306, "dry_up": 1.031434, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053864, "annualized_volatility": 0.356112, "from_high_reference": -0.100554, "from_low_reference": 0.284845 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 193.317975, "fair_value_reference": 164.055762, "structural_low": 164.300003, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.001827, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.448276, "median_excess_return": -0.008104, "regime_survival": 0.689655, "best_return": 0.171483, "worst_return": -0.224766, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.00417, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.01837, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.250516, "worst_return": -0.106479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.030066, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.057524, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.293199, "worst_return": -0.134692, "sufficient": true }, { 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184.969579 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 189.222946, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 29.65, "trend": 186.174818, "fair_value": 159.394888, "relative_strength": -17.972438, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.28515, "energy": 40.607999, "activity_lines": [ 191.307364, 186.973087, 184.614484, 185.147034 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 216.651581, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 29.65, "trend": 187.000807, "fair_value": 160.081282, "relative_strength": -4.253688, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.211103, "energy": 82.499426, "activity_lines": [ 199.976432, 193.027523, 187.607132, 187.113277 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 224.885132, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 25.65, "trend": 188.147025, "fair_value": 160.815904, "relative_strength": -2.985276, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.755509, "energy": 91.416146, "activity_lines": [ 209.443246, 199.885302, 191.24804, 189.557427 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 213.874008, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25.65, "trend": 189.050457, "fair_value": 161.49375, "relative_strength": -6.463121, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.939854, "energy": 85.156946, "activity_lines": [ 212.634009, 203.718602, 193.700064, 191.217232 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 226.399994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 20.35, "trend": 190.299487, "fair_value": 162.200653, "relative_strength": 0.87707, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.4415, "energy": 92.634521, "activity_lines": [ 218.9785, 209.240736, 197.227092, 193.62688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 227.600006, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 20.35, "trend": 191.496962, "fair_value": 162.869768, "relative_strength": -0.068001, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.710732, "energy": 90.378501, "activity_lines": [ 223.442925, 213.969235, 200.704958, 196.033365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 220.800003, "volume": 105, "typical_volume": 25.45, "trend": 192.467771, "fair_value": 163.506808, "relative_strength": -2.948209, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.976651, "energy": 78.436523, "activity_lines": [ 223.082211, 216.612279, 203.380184, 197.923884 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 211.100006, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25.45, "trend": 193.317975, "fair_value": 164.055762, "relative_strength": -9.765978, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.165573, "energy": 58.259581, "activity_lines": [ 219.211604, 216.885324, 205.005191, 199.125963 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }