{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "08efafaf-e26f-4fae-abab-e92b591c2610",
    "symbol": "VCTR",
    "name": "Victory Capital Holdings Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 90.127,
    "architecture_energy": 94.492,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.233,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 87.0,
        "upward_expansion": 99.74,
        "deceleration": 39.09,
        "rotation_down": 9.41,
        "downward_expansion": 21.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        101.186667,
        96.066997,
        90.186503,
        85.145948
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 108.16,
    "trend_reference": 79.264033,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.364553,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 56.546028,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.912778,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 30.583972,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.537905,
    "excess_performance": 0.350451,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.364553,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143297,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.912778,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.263438,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30584,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.23875,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.537905,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.371434,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4426114,
      "relative_activity": 1.72721,
      "balance": 2.371434,
      "dry_up": 1.117075,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061062,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.329554,
      "from_high_reference": -0.016101,
      "from_low_reference": 0.936208
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 79.264033,
      "fair_value_reference": 56.546028,
      "structural_low": 60.555368,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.025431,
        "positive_rate": 0.685714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.685714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01636,
        "regime_survival": 0.742857,
        "best_return": 0.157467,
        "worst_return": -0.155793,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
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        "worst_return": -0.068998,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.054376,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005859,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
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        "worst_return": 0.031935,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.229471,
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2844476.1,
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        "relative_strength": 25.290085,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 83.900999,
        "energy": 70.042728,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.91,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 97.2,
        "volume": 2197210,
        "typical_volume": 2666820.3,
        "trend": 76.727502,
        "fair_value": 55.607329,
        "relative_strength": 25.184404,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.84863,
        "energy": 80.078853,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 99.03,
        "volume": 1644213,
        "typical_volume": 2569893.0,
        "trend": 77.919442,
        "fair_value": 56.047796,
        "relative_strength": 26.283246,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.845564,
        "energy": 85.209686,
        "activity_lines": [
          96.782,
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          87.71286,
          83.194945
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 108.16,
        "volume": 4426114,
        "typical_volume": 2562580.75,
        "trend": 79.264033,
        "fair_value": 56.546028,
        "relative_strength": 30.583972,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.126693,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}