{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "08f62a9f-73e3-4517-a722-e4f5b109dab4",
    "symbol": "OTEX",
    "name": "Open Text Corp",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 29.782,
    "architecture_energy": 31.561,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.774,
    "architecture_confidence": 41.494,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.41,
        "rotation_up": 54.48,
        "upward_expansion": 44.61,
        "deceleration": 33.16,
        "rotation_down": 21.15,
        "downward_expansion": 18.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        24.181333,
        23.465091,
        23.118682,
        23.095517
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 24.94,
    "trend_reference": 23.535418,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.059679,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 29.451228,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.153176,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -22.625759,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.017478,
    "excess_performance": -0.169976,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059679,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118017,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.153176,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048495,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.226258,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07582,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017478,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.732314,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13055447,
      "relative_activity": 1.260289,
      "balance": 0.732314,
      "dry_up": 0.8459,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.093079,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.41164,
      "from_high_reference": -0.355453,
      "from_low_reference": 0.262148
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.535418,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.451228,
      "structural_low": 19.759966,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.013509,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003266,
        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.082797,
        "worst_return": -0.221327,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.088894,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065764,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.212462,
        "worst_return": -0.272859,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.122002,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046806,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.218136,
        "worst_return": -0.169859,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.227093,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.288943,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.306776,
        "worst_return": -0.367555,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.136947,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.06371,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.023718,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.131103,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.054734,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.040582,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006752,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.069313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.211946,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.07985,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.131023,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.042936,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.071766,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 10568750.0,
        "trend": 24.307656,
        "fair_value": 29.663266,
        "relative_strength": -26.506641,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -26.553644,
        "energy": 11.708302,
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          22.825333,
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          22.66658,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 22.37,
        "volume": 7018505,
        "typical_volume": 10356590.45,
        "trend": 23.961855,
        "fair_value": 29.561906,
        "relative_strength": -27.602678,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.784734,
        "energy": 14.254056,
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          22.808667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.34,
        "volume": 8701102,
        "typical_volume": 10203832.25,
        "trend": 23.772088,
        "fair_value": 29.511465,
        "relative_strength": -17.997795,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 6.472252,
        "energy": 12.335152,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.67,
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          22.902855,
          23.020168
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.94,
        "volume": 13055447,
        "typical_volume": 10359088.6,
        "trend": 23.535418,
        "fair_value": 29.451228,
        "relative_strength": -22.625759,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.782234,
        "energy": 31.560654,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.181333,
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          23.118682,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}