{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08f7c692-143c-4eb9-b18f-394d4e4ee1f2", "symbol": "NSL", "name": "NSL Foods Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 69.684, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 32.46, "architecture_energy": 39.673, "architecture_maturity": 10.672, "architecture_confidence": 51.512, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.98, "rotation_up": 60.66, "upward_expansion": 52.74, "deceleration": 32.28, "rotation_down": 19.98, "downward_expansion": 13.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.933333, 22.710909, 22.221307, 22.143619 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.9, "trend_reference": 22.159788, "distance_from_trend": 0.033403, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.871908, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.079283, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.475604, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.039135, "excess_performance": -0.15319, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033403, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01214, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.079283, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050862, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.174756, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114544, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.039135, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.205603, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1147100, "relative_activity": 0.967653, "balance": 1.205603, "dry_up": 1.254655, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036278, "annualized_volatility": 0.194574, "from_high_reference": -0.297769, "from_low_reference": 0.113007 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.159788, "fair_value_reference": 24.871908, "structural_low": 20.574886, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.001402, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.017831, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.12203, "worst_return": -0.084388, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.054687, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.014941, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.549648, "worst_return": 0.013825, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.189844, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.140429, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.367476, "worst_return": -0.207137, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -21.59847, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.833415, "energy": 54.37711, "activity_lines": [ 22.866667, 22.421818, 22.005091, 22.039861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.0, "volume": 816600, "typical_volume": 1246870.0, "trend": 22.153793, "fair_value": 24.857925, "relative_strength": -18.720677, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.420529, "energy": 54.780294, "activity_lines": [ 22.953333, 22.592727, 22.119556, 22.095477 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.9, "volume": 1147100, "typical_volume": 1185445.0, "trend": 22.159788, "fair_value": 24.871908, "relative_strength": -17.475604, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.460286, "energy": 39.672997, "activity_lines": [ 22.933333, 22.710909, 22.221307, 22.143619 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }