{ "ticker": { "uuid": "08fa4d85-cba1-498d-8645-cac4f0fe321d", "symbol": "600851", "name": "Shanghai Haixin Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.612, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 1.5, "architecture_energy": 8.27, "architecture_maturity": 21.566, "architecture_confidence": 39.927, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.38, "rotation_up": 26.76, "upward_expansion": 19.79, "deceleration": 62.55, "rotation_down": 44.73, "downward_expansion": 37.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.039921, 8.178083, 8.124395, 8.136734 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 8.37, "trend_reference": 8.096194, "distance_from_trend": 0.033819, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.546901, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.278468, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.311777, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.085603, "excess_performance": 0.128807, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033819, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050908, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.278468, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069858, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.113118, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032101, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.085603, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.580435, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47645819, "relative_activity": 0.706985, "balance": 0.580435, "dry_up": 1.238389, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113435, "annualized_volatility": 0.460382, "from_high_reference": -0.129738, "from_low_reference": 0.307812 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.096194, "fair_value_reference": 6.546901, "structural_low": 7.11, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.030127, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": 0.003188, "regime_survival": 0.411765, "best_return": 0.128843, "worst_return": -0.238024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.000689, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.013279, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.173921, "worst_return": -0.167665, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.084964, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.10018, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.145422, "worst_return": -0.296407, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 8.182469, 8.157931, 8.129831, 8.125189 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.87, "volume": 45438722, "typical_volume": 69162545.05, "trend": 8.044861, "fair_value": 6.532575, "relative_strength": 7.682741, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.288918, "energy": 7.648894, "activity_lines": [ 7.998747, 8.128007, 8.100994, 8.115757 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.37, "volume": 47645819, "typical_volume": 67393006.2, "trend": 8.096194, "fair_value": 6.546901, "relative_strength": 11.311777, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.499861, "energy": 8.269638, "activity_lines": [ 8.039921, 8.178083, 8.124395, 8.136734 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }