{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0901107e-2708-4c96-a65f-e6a3f96aaf32", "symbol": "WEMTH", "name": "BNP PARIBAS Easy ICAV - BNP Paribas Easy MSCI World Min TE UCITS ETF UCITS ETF H EUR CAPITALISATION", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.137, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.467, "architecture_energy": 70.367, "architecture_maturity": 72.509, "architecture_confidence": 67.501, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.84, "rotation_up": 57.31, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.04, "rotation_down": 27.48, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.821633, 13.741998, 13.549232, 13.304642 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.1275, "trend_reference": 13.041147, "distance_from_trend": 0.083302, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.712834, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.206156, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.224721, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.112708, "excess_performance": 0.059397, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.083302, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033858, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.206156, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038106, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.042247, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050091, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.112708, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.528562, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 434, "relative_activity": 0.065704, "balance": 0.528562, "dry_up": 1.028136, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015882, "annualized_volatility": 0.138087, "from_high_reference": -0.002281, "from_low_reference": 0.210832 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.041147, "fair_value_reference": 11.712834, "structural_low": 12.02, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.006017, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.001005, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.028891, "worst_return": -0.033098, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.05929, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.102505, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.05929, "worst_return": 0.05929, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.921468, "energy": 69.010817, "activity_lines": [ 13.579293, 13.531315, 13.196661, 13.016133 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 13.8428, "volume": 1984, "typical_volume": 5379.45, "trend": 12.85512, "fair_value": 11.631002, "relative_strength": 7.489623, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.298479, "energy": 72.022992, "activity_lines": [ 13.67538, 13.606736, 13.28291, 13.082963 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.706, "volume": 22640, "typical_volume": 6495.05, "trend": 12.89919, "fair_value": 11.651345, "relative_strength": 6.18084, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.90699, "energy": 69.201188, "activity_lines": [ 13.719687, 13.635171, 13.350408, 13.137858 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.6994, "volume": 1760, "typical_volume": 6581.65, "trend": 12.94304, "fair_value": 11.671229, "relative_strength": 5.465845, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.457541, "energy": 64.856773, "activity_lines": [ 13.736233, 13.656187, 13.413032, 13.189485 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.5835, "volume": 2331, "typical_volume": 6583.7, "trend": 12.983027, "fair_value": 11.689616, "relative_strength": 2.774067, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.074992, "energy": 57.600919, "activity_lines": [ 13.689027, 13.650811, 13.458432, 13.230805 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.1275, "volume": 434, "typical_volume": 6605.4, "trend": 13.041147, "fair_value": 11.712834, "relative_strength": 4.224721, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.467207, "energy": 70.366771, "activity_lines": [ 13.821633, 13.741998, 13.549232, 13.304642 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }