{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0904619d-d692-4742-8b28-5dc6e3180d09", "symbol": "CGG", "name": "China Gold International Resources Corp. Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 50.16, "architecture_energy": 47.683, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.785, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.18, "rotation_up": 71.89, "upward_expansion": 43.06, "deceleration": 32.1, "rotation_down": 14.09, "downward_expansion": 18.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.036, 29.052, 28.202907, 28.479315 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 38.59, "trend_reference": 29.467175, "distance_from_trend": 0.309593, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.080656, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.740639, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.236111, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.153189, "excess_performance": 0.032768, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.309593, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008141, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.740639, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.276437, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.272361, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086109, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.153189, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.402848, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 944900, "relative_activity": 3.475558, "balance": 1.402848, "dry_up": 1.449038, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093747, "annualized_volatility": 0.770132, "from_high_reference": -0.103017, "from_low_reference": 2.206223 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.467175, "fair_value_reference": 14.080656, "structural_low": 21.42, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.033684, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.005405, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.260054, "worst_return": -0.151515, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.077103, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.124741, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.158746, "worst_return": -0.141414, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.3296, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.218169, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.525758, "worst_return": 0.010101, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.780001, "volume": 212500, "typical_volume": 262935.0, "trend": 28.965651, "fair_value": 13.54059, "relative_strength": -12.769766, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.949205, "energy": 44.089037, "activity_lines": [ 24.767333, 25.171636, 26.573293, 27.701865 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.629999, "volume": 230600, "typical_volume": 251605.0, "trend": 29.021975, "fair_value": 13.69788, "relative_strength": 2.998047, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.756142, "energy": 14.018419, "activity_lines": [ 26.432, 25.882363, 26.795449, 27.744726 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.959999, "volume": 187800, "typical_volume": 247080.0, "trend": 29.141892, "fair_value": 13.864813, "relative_strength": 6.908497, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.410559, "energy": 15.11141, "activity_lines": [ 28.278666, 26.801818, 27.142708, 27.86976 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.59, "volume": 944900, "typical_volume": 271870.0, "trend": 29.467175, "fair_value": 14.080656, "relative_strength": 27.236111, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 50.160357, "energy": 47.682797, "activity_lines": [ 32.036, 29.052, 28.202907, 28.479315 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }