{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0906d993-3688-4721-a37e-782b45c1323e", "symbol": "EQIX", "name": "Equinix, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.428, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.116, "architecture_energy": 24.988, "architecture_maturity": 45.463, "architecture_confidence": 58.669, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.1, "rotation_up": 32.17, "upward_expansion": 64.25, "deceleration": 76.43, "rotation_down": 25.5, "downward_expansion": 6.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 918.160006, 917.938186, 917.362525, 899.484178 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 916.0, "trend_reference": 860.272107, "distance_from_trend": 0.064779, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 744.401725, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.230518, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.74282, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.307448, "excess_performance": 0.133201, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064779, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117401, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.230518, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026063, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027428, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09568, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.307448, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.078947, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.078947, "dry_up": 3.541667, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046078, "annualized_volatility": 0.319812, "from_high_reference": -0.049595, "from_low_reference": 0.490264 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 860.272107, "fair_value_reference": 744.401725, "structural_low": 701.984572, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.005926, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.022596, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.064481, "worst_return": -0.121254, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.000455, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.048403, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.104183, "worst_return": -0.181012, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.064022, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.041556, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.233071, "worst_return": -0.236003, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.021615, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.05569, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.003039, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.049972, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.014417, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }