{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0914ddfd-d9ec-4073-8dad-434ae2c77ed1", "symbol": "6272", "name": "Wieson Technologies Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.534, "architecture_energy": 82.753, "architecture_maturity": 29.645, "architecture_confidence": 80.334, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.55, "rotation_up": 8.82, "upward_expansion": 19.48, "deceleration": 37.33, "rotation_down": 82.1, "downward_expansion": 97.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.886667, 25.722727, 28.185926, 29.289856 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 23.6, "trend_reference": 31.281424, "distance_from_trend": -0.245559, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.757965, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.300906, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -58.352241, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.353197, "excess_performance": -0.698929, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.245559, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.172467, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.300906, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.284125, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.583522, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047045, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.353197, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.02848, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 734332, "relative_activity": 0.47507, "balance": 1.02848, "dry_up": 0.615043, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122814, "annualized_volatility": 0.384354, "from_high_reference": -0.610105, "from_low_reference": 0.035088 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.281424, "fair_value_reference": 33.757965, "structural_low": 22.799999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.019908, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.619048, "median_excess_return": -0.034113, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.147465, "worst_return": -0.175505, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.062835, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.016617, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.172549, "worst_return": -0.232335, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.008333, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.032267, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.188235, "worst_return": -0.390287, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.103923, "energy": 73.511078, "activity_lines": [ 28.396666, 30.154879, 30.600107, 31.582932 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.0, "volume": 1630346, "typical_volume": 1676154.6, "trend": 32.982361, "fair_value": 33.507346, "relative_strength": -58.3432, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.260698, "energy": 83.624304, "activity_lines": [ 26.583333, 28.842323, 29.949725, 30.956093 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.25, "volume": 739041, "typical_volume": 1598169.85, "trend": 32.357607, "fair_value": 33.592009, "relative_strength": -58.095246, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.728503, "energy": 84.290085, "activity_lines": [ 25.296666, 27.715694, 29.370494, 30.392714 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 23.5, "volume": 699053, "typical_volume": 1553013.45, "trend": 31.836705, "fair_value": 33.675404, "relative_strength": -59.948934, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.567503, "energy": 85.109894, "activity_lines": [ 24.31, 26.600626, 28.756107, 29.821256 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 23.6, "volume": 734332, "typical_volume": 1545733.65, "trend": 31.281424, "fair_value": 33.757965, "relative_strength": -58.352241, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.53443, "energy": 82.753075, "activity_lines": [ 23.886667, 25.722727, 28.185926, 29.289856 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }