{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0917e19c-633c-43db-b4b9-c393d42c45d5", "symbol": "WSRI", "name": "Amundi MSCI World SRI Climate Net Zero Ambition PAB UCITS ETF EUR Acc", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.554, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.34, "architecture_energy": 52.945, "architecture_maturity": 64.061, "architecture_confidence": 76.6, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.69, "rotation_up": 44.29, "upward_expansion": 67.86, "deceleration": 88.28, "rotation_down": 27.63, "downward_expansion": 20.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 137.489334, 137.515418, 135.388624, 132.523822 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 140.910004, "trend_reference": 129.481201, "distance_from_trend": 0.088266, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 111.941547, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.258782, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.276516, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.127812, "excess_performance": 0.01115, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088266, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048038, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.258782, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053624, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012765, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032117, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.127812, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.547082, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6263, "relative_activity": 0.807202, "balance": 0.547082, "dry_up": 1.386859, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019942, "annualized_volatility": 0.146515, "from_high_reference": -0.000709, "from_low_reference": 0.369091 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 129.481201, "fair_value_reference": 111.941547, "structural_low": 114.759003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.098959, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.034422, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.098959, "worst_return": 0.098959, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.182985, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.061793, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.182985, "worst_return": 0.182985, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.391919, "energy": 69.426903, "activity_lines": [ 137.620665, 136.925326, 133.378619, 130.826364 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 135.679993, "volume": 13317, "typical_volume": 8032.9, "trend": 128.503267, "fair_value": 111.545813, "relative_strength": -0.587429, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.04463, "energy": 55.052269, "activity_lines": [ 136.863329, 136.919416, 133.963481, 131.320465 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 135.210007, "volume": 5167, "typical_volume": 7974.35, "trend": 128.964701, "fair_value": 111.723739, "relative_strength": -1.732505, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.055738, "energy": 42.061629, "activity_lines": [ 136.140666, 136.726127, 134.443567, 131.753157 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 140.910004, "volume": 6263, "typical_volume": 7758.9, "trend": 129.481201, "fair_value": 111.941547, "relative_strength": 1.276516, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.340198, "energy": 52.944768, "activity_lines": [ 137.489334, 137.515418, 135.388624, 132.523822 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }