{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "091a72cd-2c69-4b46-b3c4-140ad0174097",
    "symbol": "NOA3",
    "name": "Nokia Oyj",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -30.627,
    "architecture_energy": 45.083,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.24,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.855,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.89,
        "rotation_up": 14.02,
        "upward_expansion": 19.57,
        "deceleration": 62.12,
        "rotation_down": 71.39,
        "downward_expansion": 46.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.371139,
        9.453371,
        10.309357,
        9.787421
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 8.162,
    "trend_reference": 8.834519,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.076124,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.798972,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.700781,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 6.460836,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.385827,
    "excess_performance": 0.321187,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076124,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.231956,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.700781,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.913334,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064608,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.920038,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.385827,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.433578,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4241505,
      "relative_activity": 1.233152,
      "balance": 0.433578,
      "dry_up": 1.760864,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.171056,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.535322,
      "from_high_reference": -0.42602,
      "from_low_reference": 1.365436
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.834519,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.798972,
      "structural_low": 5.770159,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.034666,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021814,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.062049,
        "worst_return": -0.243359,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.174511,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.112128,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.274019,
        "worst_return": 0.113455,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.20876,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.131325,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.18944,
        "worst_return": 0.019148,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.091694,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.052482,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.257183,
        "worst_return": -0.073795,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005005,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.060463,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "return": 0.024924,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01582,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.052709,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.063715,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.049302,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.244183,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": -0.104152,
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 3108591.4,
        "trend": 8.664683,
        "fair_value": 4.737223,
        "relative_strength": 14.164751,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.978,
        "volume": 6591580,
        "typical_volume": 3311124.4,
        "trend": 8.747062,
        "fair_value": 4.76742,
        "relative_strength": 8.04769,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -17.476907,
        "energy": 37.340057,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.162,
        "volume": 4241505,
        "typical_volume": 3439562.8,
        "trend": 8.834519,
        "fair_value": 4.798972,
        "relative_strength": 6.460836,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.626564,
        "energy": 45.083433,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}